NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3091c4a41e5be609c6925490b5aa584d42fa11594d78137c0cde72da9fe10f32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 49c | 41,090$20,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,956.92 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nuggets | 51c | 40,998$20,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,909.08 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Nuggets | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.97 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 16,824$8,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,770.58 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 52c | 15,125$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,861.79 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 48c | 8,943$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,110$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 49c | 7,036$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.17 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,068$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.98 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…fe4dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Nuggets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 3,988$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,474$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.2 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,094$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.49 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ba…fa25backed Nuggets | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Nuggets | 54c | 2,765$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.97 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…1135backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,657$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,520$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.82 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b8…68c0backed Nuggets | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…1dbcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,499$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Nuggets | 54c | 1,307$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…0ceebacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,101$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…184dbacked Nuggets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 993.45$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.15 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Nuggets | 52c | 965.06$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.83 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 47c | 948.04$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 52c | 909$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.53 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 37c | 836.66$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.99 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 835.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 793.88$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.92 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 50c | 783.57$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…f999backed Nuggets | 53c | 780$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Nuggets | 52c | 749.97$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…6be4backed Nuggets | 53c | 721$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Nuggets | 51c | 717.9$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 711.97$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.37 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…5dc1backed Nuggets | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 66c | 697.54$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Nuggets | 55c | 583.54$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.37 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Nuggets | 52c | 575.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 490.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nuggets | 35c | 465.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.18 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 455.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.86 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 441.2$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…854cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 390.13$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Nuggets | 20c | 350.43$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1452…3c00backed Timberwolves | 48c | 334.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Nuggets | 38c | 324.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…dc94backed Nuggets | 55c | 314$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nuggets | 32c | 312.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a3…8278backed Nuggets | 54c | 302.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…6010backed Nuggets | 53c | 290.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 280.22$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Nuggets | 52c | 269.35$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…7d50backed Nuggets | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Nuggets | 54c | 237.01$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…7057backed Nuggets | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 50c | 215.46$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Nuggets | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Timberwolves | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 31c | 196.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 186$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 58c | 185.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Nuggets | 33c | 152.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…ae90backed Nuggets | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…9db1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 142.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Nuggets | 47c | 134.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…753bbacked Nuggets | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 126.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 120.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 114.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…416abacked Nuggets | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 109.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Timberwolves | 61c | 107.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…e9d5backed Nuggets | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nuggets | 50c | 104.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Timberwolves | 49c | 100.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Timberwolves | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…1477backed Timberwolves | 48c | 99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Nuggets | 54c | 91.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.