NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01da729678ade1017d4bff02993058d68182d29d94a20b4fd6dd0417404e268
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 42c | 2,130$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.44 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 616$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b6…3d60backed Under | 56c | 538.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 57c | 524.14$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 56c | 515.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.43 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 36c | 486.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…db9dbacked Under | 63c | 460$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 43c | 441.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.42 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 377.36$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…c431backed Under | 56c | 358.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.91 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 58c | 345$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 44c | 330.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.62 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 313.21$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 44c | 286.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 43c | 277.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 15c | 256.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…720fbacked Under | 58c | 245.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 58c | 244$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 37c | 227.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 227.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b2…9141backed Over | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…072cbacked Over | 54c | 186.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 62.5%105 W · 63 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 179.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 166.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 55c | 134.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 129.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 58c | 122$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…3df5backed Over | 55c | 104.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 48c | 96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Over | 39c | 85.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…68e3backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8699…dcb5backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Over | 59c | 67.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 63.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 340 | 47.1%160 W · 180 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…edb6backed Under | 51c | 58.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 53.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 58c | 44.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 43.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…b083backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked Under | 52c | 34.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Over | 58c | 32.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 60c | 31.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9d…9e33backed Over | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Over | 55c | 26.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Bruce Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 234.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 241.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.