TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x29de…072c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
229
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT16862.5%105 W · 63 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 168 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.19
Bulls vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$61.62
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.66
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.14
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.53
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.44
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$43.71
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.4
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$47.91
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.14
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$222.64
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$93.66
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$144.84
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$87.34
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.22
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$134.14
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.95
Showing 25 of 168 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT5464.8%35 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 4: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnetbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.72
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30.88
Busan: Leandro Riedi vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Wuning 2: Fajing Sun vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.71
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedybacked Joao Lucas Da Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.39
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Sheltonbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$157.18
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Darwin Blanchbacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$62.46
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.93
Oeiras 3: Roman Safiullin vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.08
Barcelona Open: Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Elise Mertensbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Santa Cruz: Federico Coria vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.44
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$31.63
Santa Cruz: Pedro Sakamoto vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$62.25
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.52
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$28.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$21.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.