NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d1c98a73c4227f49790e00b1f2e60e064484373c3854d297436386e2ff8ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Bulls, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $965,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,021,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $965,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Bulls | 35c | 180,666$62,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,377.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Bulls | 37c | 174,049$64,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,407.11 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Bulls | 32c | 87,214$28,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,065.19 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 65c | 58,077$37,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,417.2 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mavericks | 65c | 48,950$31,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,132.5 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Mavericks | 66c | 37,800$24,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,852 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks | 67c | 36,984$24,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,364.92 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 67c | 33,143$22,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935.46 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Mavericks | 66c | 28,800$19,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,792 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 78c | 27,672$21,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 36c | 24,436$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,742.02 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Mavericks | 64c | 22,230$14,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,017.3 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 70c | 21,375$14,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,389.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 64c | 16,427$10,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.81 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Mavericks | 72c | 16,325$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,545.9 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Mavericks | 72c | 14,474$10,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.23 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 14c | 12,454$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.98 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Bulls | 4c | 10,625$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Bulls | 13c | 10,175$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.93 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Mavericks | 64c | 10,025$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.08 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 5c | 9,642$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.4 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 37c | 9,232$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.24 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 30c | 8,935$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.48 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Mavericks | 64c | 8,719$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.91 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Mavericks | 64c | 8,435$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.78 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Mavericks | 69c | 8,120$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.39 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 10c | 7,884$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.23 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Mavericks | 62c | 7,854$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.46 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Mavericks | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.06 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Bulls | 34c | 7,274$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.61 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bulls | 0c | 7,181$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…9a04backed Mavericks | 67c | 7,156$4,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +235%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Mavericks | 67c | 7,057$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.96 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mavericks | 76c | 6,524$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.31 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 0c | 6,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Mavericks | 66c | 5,815$3,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Mavericks | 62c | 5,378$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Mavericks | 67c | 5,203$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.98 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Mavericks | 65c | 5,036$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.55 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 73c | 4,854$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.84 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Bulls | 20c | 4,785$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.15 | 252 | 26.6%67 W · 185 L | -26.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 36c | 4,707$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.66 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks | 64c | 4,669$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 30c | 4,545$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Mavericks | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Mavericks | 70c | 4,438$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.37 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Bulls | 3c | 4,282$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Bulls | 30c | 3,543$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.43 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Bulls | 12c | 3,396$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.53 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Bulls | 30c | 3,182$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.46 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Mavericks | 71c | 2,768$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.69 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Bulls | 3c | 2,699$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Mavericks | 65c | 2,375$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.32 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 66c | 2,305$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Bulls | 3c | 2,185$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Bulls | 36c | 2,137$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.28 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Mavericks | 63c | 2,134$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.09 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls | 14c | 2,128$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Bulls | 7c | 2,122$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Mavericks | 79c | 2,029$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Mavericks | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Mavericks | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.99 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…dc24backed Mavericks | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked Mavericks | 68c | 1,903$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Mavericks | 71c | 1,868$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.7 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Mavericks | 65c | 1,818$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.13 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 68c | 1,766$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.14 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Mavericks | 69c | 1,668$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,654$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.23 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Mavericks | 64c | 1,646$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.48 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Mavericks | 78c | 1,579$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…b38abacked Mavericks | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Bulls | 36c | 1,496$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.5 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Mavericks | 62c | 1,496$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.38 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bulls | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 29c | 1,283$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.07 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,261$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.48 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Mavericks | 66c | 1,251$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.62 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,236$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.72 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…45c7backed Bulls | 25c | 1,186$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,179$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.94 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 65c | 1,151$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 27c | 1,088$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Mavericks | 64c | 1,086$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Bulls | 4c | 1,062$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mavericks | 70c | 1,050$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Bulls | 11c | 1,009$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,002$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Mavericks | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Mavericks | 69c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Mavericks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Bulls | 29c | 999.59$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 65c | 985.24$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Mavericks | 73c | 976.7$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Bulls | 30c | 958$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.4 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bulls | 6c | 943.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Bulls | 32c | 930.38$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 152 | 19.7%30 W · 122 L | -26.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Mavericks | 64c | 921.83$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Mavericksthis page
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 248.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.