NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ff86ed3c8e8778dfd448836325d314a8efa5d79889abc8cfbc15830df9de0c

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $102,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $99,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,577 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under	1c	46,239$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.91	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under	45c	10,842$4,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,877.76	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under	44c	7,736$3,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,403.2	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	39c	3,864$1,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,501.7	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over	53c	3,720$1,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,748.42	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	55c	2,937$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.61	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	2,467$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.26	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under	43c	2,379$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.87	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	53c	2,020$1,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.17	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	47c	2,004$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.19	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+3.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	43c	1,848$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.94	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over	53c	1,534$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$716.13	229	48.5%111 W · 118 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	55c	1,492$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.62	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3208…fa3abacked Over	53c	1,001$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	55c	994.99$547 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.75	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Under	47c	945.15$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	12c	906.78$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.42	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over	55c	707.64$389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.44	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under	44c	549.63$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.59	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over	58c	504.21$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.77	187	48.1%90 W · 97 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	156	50%78 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	55c	497.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.87	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over	55c	497.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.87	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	55c	497.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.87	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over	55c	497.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.87	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over	55c	497.49$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.87	192	54.7%105 W · 87 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	4c	465.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff9…bf35backed Under	5c	449.53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-77%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	43c	414.44$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.21	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Over	55c	393.78$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.2	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over	54c	365.32$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.05	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Under	48c	350.09$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.04	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over	69c	284.46$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.18	118	73.7%87 W · 31 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under	43c	280.08$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.44	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-7.6wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	7c	264.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under	42c	260.17$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.27	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under	42c	256.74$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.83	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under	42c	250$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under	43c	241.45$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.82	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over	54c	220.43$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.08	1,003	51%512 W · 491 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	46c	206.1$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.81	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under	44c	204.88$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.15	200	40%80 W · 120 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under	47c	195.54$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under	47c	193.64$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.01	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over	53c	183.4$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.63	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over	77c	181.36$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.98	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	42c	181.24$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.12	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over	55c	176.91$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.61	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	47c	165.21$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.65	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under	45c	155.3$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under	44c	131.78$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.98	201	46.8%94 W · 107 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Under	43c	126.06$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.21	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	42c	124.51$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.29	447	47%210 W · 237 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under	43c	123.53$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.12	131	38.2%50 W · 81 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	71c	116.82$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.29	360	51.7%186 W · 174 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	41c	112.42$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.09	211	47.4%100 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under	43c	106.14$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.64	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under	44c	105.34$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	61	34.4%21 W · 40 L	-10.1wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	42c	104.27$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Under	43c	98.51$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.36	187	44.4%83 W · 104 L	-10.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f6c…df05backed Over	57c	98.37$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.3	72	56.9%41 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	54c	92.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	952	60.2%573 W · 379 L	+37.0wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over	53c	91.68$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Under	44c	85.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	162	45.1%73 W · 89 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under	44c	85.04$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.42	361	53.5%193 W · 168 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over	57c	84.66$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	193	48.2%93 W · 100 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under	42c	82.02$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under	42c	77.32$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Under	43c	77.26$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over	53c	74.41$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.97	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over	53c	74.3$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over	53c	74.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.6	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over	53c	73.34$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.47	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under	49c	73.06$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over	55c	70.76$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	116	53.4%62 W · 54 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under	16c	70.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	56c	66.02$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.31	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	47c	64.7$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.28	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under	46c	63.15$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under	43c	62.78$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.99	147	53.1%78 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over	54c	58.34$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.84	302	56.6%171 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	47c	56.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under	46c	56.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.04	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc327…c68ebacked Under	43c	53.4$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under	47c	52.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.69	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Under	45c	46.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	387	36.4%141 W · 246 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under	45c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	205	58.5%120 W · 85 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over	55c	44.23$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	378	53.4%202 W · 176 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Under	43c	44.15$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	92	45.7%42 W · 50 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over	59c	43.89$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	44c	42.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over	67c	41.68$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.95	276	46.7%129 W · 147 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	56c	39.05$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.18	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Under	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Over	53c	37.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under	33c	37.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5this page
Bulls vs. MavericksMavericks won
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 248.5Over won
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5Over won
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event