NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ee5f549b46f8ce684e9c97a1037bd05289bb00fa6c1af67b83fcef09c0ccb5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed Over | 51c | 39,117$19,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,295.58 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 18,480$9,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,387.23 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,892$5,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,913.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 49c | 6,397$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.15 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 49c | 5,539$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.32 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Under | 53c | 5,217$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.88 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 3,592$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 49c | 3,564$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.39 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 49c | 2,955$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.91 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 49c | 2,326$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.3 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 2,302$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.04 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 2,079$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.87 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Over | 48c | 1,615$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.63 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 49c | 1,549$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.04 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.58 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,306$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 49c | 1,077$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.73 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.8 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.24 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 49c | 867.71$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 49c | 703.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 49c | 703.78$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.85 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 693.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 693.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 693.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 49c | 693.1$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.62 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 52c | 550.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.43 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Under | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Under | 12c | 521.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 472.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Under | 11c | 432.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.47 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 48c | 388.22$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 300.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 48c | 296.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 48c | 285.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 53c | 275.13$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 260.9$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Over | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 53c | 244.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 226.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 48c | 221.62$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 71c | 219.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 40c | 199$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 49c | 188.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8788…8aa8backed Under | 50c | 166.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 134.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 51c | 123.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 11c | 119.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Under | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 49c | 96.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Under | 52c | 95.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 92.12$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…dcc2backed Over | 50c | 77.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 49c | 77.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 28c | 71.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Under | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…5a4fbacked Under | 53c | 45.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 49c | 44.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 72c | 42.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Under | 52c | 42.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Under | 49c | 39.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Under | 52c | 38.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 49c | 37.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 32.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 32.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 31.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 31.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Under | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 49c | 27.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…42d4backed Under | 54c | 25.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 53c | 25.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Under | 52c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 75c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5this page
- Bulls vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 248.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.