NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7360705d5f021510b123d6cd8020a30bd1ecd3e5190139c9152c30cd7bb70e75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks | 50c | 55,489$27,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,674.24 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bulls | 37c | 29,446$11,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,040.32 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Bulls | 51c | 27,536$14,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,043.44 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls | 50c | 21,725$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 50c | 20,727$10,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,363.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Mavericks | 57c | 14,596$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,276.24 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 57c | 11,825$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.85 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 51c | 9,921$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.21 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 51c | 9,432$4,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.54 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 8,453$3,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 46c | 6,075$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.09 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Mavericks | 46c | 3,900$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,732$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.48 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,545$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.07 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,477$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.78 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,295$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.37 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.95 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 46c | 2,806$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,619$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Mavericks | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 41c | 2,061$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.56 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Bulls | 51c | 1,915$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.41 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Mavericks | 45c | 1,840$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.74 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,743$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.13 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 52c | 1,255$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bulls | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Bulls | 52c | 1,169$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.84 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Bulls | 49c | 1,117$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.46 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bulls | 54c | 1,028$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.73 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bulls | 52c | 939.76$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.48 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 49c | 898.98$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 56c | 891.47$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bulls | 52c | 828.81$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Bulls | 52c | 804.49$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…cc06backed Mavericks | 51c | 758.31$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Mavericks | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Mavericks | 43c | 603.06$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Bulls | 51c | 567.83$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Mavericks | 57c | 567.44$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.02 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Mavericks | 76c | 519.57$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Bulls | 51c | 510.24$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d46…5112backed Mavericks | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 430.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.35 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Mavericks | 55c | 418.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…6d1cbacked Mavericks | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Mavericks | 51c | 380.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.31 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bulls | 54c | 342.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.56 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Bulls | 54c | 342.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.56 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Bulls | 51c | 335.83$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Mavericks | 49c | 325.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Bulls | 50c | 319.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks | 67c | 285.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Mavericks | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Bulls | 53c | 258.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Bulls | 53c | 257.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Mavericks | 42c | 251.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mavericks | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bulls | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mavericks | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.96 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 48c | 228.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Mavericks | 43c | 208.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Bulls | 51c | 208.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Mavericks | 51c | 203.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.87 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Bulls | 35c | 201.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Bulls | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Mavericks | 49c | 195.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Bulls | 51c | 190.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Bulls | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Mavericks | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 50c | 185.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Mavericks | 51c | 185.86$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Bulls | 51c | 183.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…c4b9backed Bulls | 51c | 173.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Mavericks | 51c | 173.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Mavericks | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Mavericks | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Bulls | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mavericks | 46c | 167$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.41 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Bulls | 58c | 166.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…1827backed Mavericks | 51c | 164.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf379…ea83backed Bulls | 50c | 161.02$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mavericks | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Bulls | 49c | 147.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Bulls | 49c | 146.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Bulls | 49c | 144.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bulls | 53c | 138.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Mavericks | 43c | 134.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Mavericks | 43c | 134.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Mavericks | 29c | 134$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Mavericks | 23c | 133$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Mavericks | 23c | 133$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…f0d9backed Bulls | 52c | 130.12$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Mavericks | 28c | 125$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Bulls | 51c | 106.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Mavericks | 28c | 106$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Mavericks | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Mavericks | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)this page
- Bulls vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 246.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 248.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5Over won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.