TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6557…0999

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT13946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$849.76
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,339.88
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,593.66
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.92
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,215
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,723Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,590.21
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.22
Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,262.15
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.58
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,394.93
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,461Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,461.23
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,041.67
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,364.72
Spread: Bucks (-10.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$718.59
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.26
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.5
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8130.9%25 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+260.1%+$1,526.88
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.99
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.36
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.6
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,003
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.6
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$504
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.06
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.4
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$31
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.02
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$392.6
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.29
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+105.2%+$523
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$387.48
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.04
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.75
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.56
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.05
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$538.84
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Spread: Dallas Wings (-9.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.87
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,214.77
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,361.5
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,569.5
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$205.99
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.55
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,383.83
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,036.14
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,733Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$1,600.44
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,062.47
Final Stage: Italy vs. Puerto Ricobacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,373Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97%+$1,331.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,120.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$748.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$612.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.