Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeb9ac4f714cf4a77b3ad0b51ee660e97d58b63df6d2742355dca69c67a4a42c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $992,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,306,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $992,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 60c | 135,841$82,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,840.82 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 39c | 35,511$13,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,990.12 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.97 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 57c | 22,920$13,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.62 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Spirit | 58c | 21,000$12,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,798.61 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Liquid | 44c | 18,000$7,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 17,568$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.49 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 57c | 17,487$10,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,452.29 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 17,066$7,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,729.79 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 15,358$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719.53 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 30c | 13,133$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 44c | 11,819$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,155.9 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Liquid | 36c | 11,459$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.23 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 11,179$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 44c | 11,046$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Team Liquid | 39c | 11,032$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.06 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 78c | 9,596$7,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.34 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 8,246$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.87 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 7,959$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.8 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 44c | 7,835$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.77 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 7,498$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Team Spirit | 65c | 7,477$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 7,287$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.92 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 6,992$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Spirit | 65c | 6,920$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.72 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…cdc1backed Team Liquid | 10c | 6,872$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.05 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 6,092$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.5 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Liquid | 18c | 6,018$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.4 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 6,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 5,916$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.3 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 59c | 5,603$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.41 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 46c | 5,407$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.3 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 5,304$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.16 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 30c | 5,229$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.5 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 5,000$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.5 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Team Liquid | 44c | 5,000$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 63c | 4,961$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.92 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Team Spirit | 55c | 4,900$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 36c | 4,725$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Liquid | 33c | 4,658$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Team Spirit | 65c | 4,450$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Liquid | 30c | 4,267$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.86 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Spirit | 61c | 4,081$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.58 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 3,697$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.54 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…c542backed Team Liquid | 18c | 3,500$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.05 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 4c | 3,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Liquid | 39c | 3,493$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.72 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Team Spirit | 76c | 3,463$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.64 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 3,343$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.55 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Liquid | 35c | 3,325$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.75 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 33c | 3,189$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 3,179$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.78 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 57c | 3,163$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.83 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Spirit | 61c | 3,053$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.51 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Team Liquid | 2c | 3,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,942$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.44 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 22c | 2,807$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…d931backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,761$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.41 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,711$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,595$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.55 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,416$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.49 | 290 | 43.4%126 W · 164 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,354$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.34 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 34c | 2,350$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,333$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.55 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 33c | 2,304$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.5 | 356 | 37.1%132 W · 224 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 29c | 2,300$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.52 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,300$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…7c42backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,200$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Team Liquid | 44c | 2,121$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.24 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,100$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 2,076$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.27 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Liquid | 34c | 2,020$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 33c | 2,020$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.59 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,903$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.3 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,883$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.72 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Team Liquid | 8c | 1,846$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Team Liquid | 27c | 1,817$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.15 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,807$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.32 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,801$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,780$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.2 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,750$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Liquid | 34c | 1,700$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,695$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.86 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,617$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.21 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 32c | 1,559$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.1 | 679 | 32.5%221 W · 458 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 23c | 1,501$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.92 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…b212backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +2,654.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,500$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5d…3686backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,422$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,397$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.82 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,327$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.