Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094b1336a84f9c76d798d8e0e5497c8d079950beb701ed55ecc117d6616890e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Team Spirit | 44c | 191,677$85,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,258.44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid | 56c | 77,192$43,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,043.13 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 55c | 21,723$11,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,878.54 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 21,655$12,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,513.63 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Team Liquid | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Team Spirit | 43c | 11,518$4,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,952.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 11,435$6,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.75 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Liquid | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,061$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.49 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,448$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.87 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 42c | 2,375$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,352$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.8 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,262$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.82 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Team Spirit | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,990$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.9 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,896$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.16 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,460$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,456$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,253$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.75 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,169$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,152$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,147$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.42 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,117$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.17 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,024$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.83 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Team Liquid | 55c | 999.98$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.99 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit | 43c | 790.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.87 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…def2backed Team Spirit | 41c | 637.72$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Team Spirit | 40c | 630$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 512.8$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.33 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Liquid | 57c | 508.77$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Team Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Team Liquid | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 487.18$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed Team Liquid | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Team Spirit | 39c | 373.23$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 349.98$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid | 59c | 345.23$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Team Liquid | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 280.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…1ce7backed Team Liquid | 58c | 274$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 240$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 239.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Spirit | 42c | 235.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Team Liquid | 54c | 235$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 224.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Spirit | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Liquid | 50c | 216.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 253 | 54.5%138 W · 115 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Liquid | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Team Liquid | 58c | 189.29$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 263 | 43%113 W · 150 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid | 59c | 180.84$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.14 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…a8bdbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Team Spirit | 41c | 159.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Team Liquid | 54c | 142.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Team Liquid | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Spirit | 40c | 132.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Team Liquid | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Team Spirit | 39c | 124.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Team Liquid | 45c | 109.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Team Spirit | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Team Liquid | 58c | 103.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Spirit | 47c | 102.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 102.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Team Liquid | 54c | 102.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Team Spirit | 46c | 99.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 56c | 91.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Team Liquid | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team Spirit | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…737abacked Team Spirit | 37c | 81.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Team Spirit | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Team Spirit | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 68.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Team Liquid | 58c | 66.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 63.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Team Spirit | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Spirit | 53c | 58.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…ed81backed Team Spirit | 43c | 58.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Team Spirit | 45c | 53.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Team Liquid | 58c | 52.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Team Liquid | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Team Liquid | 58c | 48.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Spirit | 43c | 45.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…f519backed Team Liquid | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 42.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Team Spirit | 42c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Team Liquid | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 38.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Team Spirit | 41c | 37.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.