Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5980b7812f875f48c0976e2855d1eca60488793d36edeb71640ce4ffd6d3186
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,010,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,190,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 684 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Liquid | 33c | 87,775$28,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,633.33 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 65,370$40,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,812.21 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 28c | 41,642$11,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,630.58 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 40,000$26,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,700 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 63c | 38,078$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,078.42 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Team Liquid | 34c | 25,262$8,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,681.55 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 25,210$15,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,579.71 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Team Liquid | 28c | 25,000$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed Team Spirit | 67c | 22,344$14,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,427.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid | 38c | 18,810$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,139.68 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 14c | 18,727$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.87 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 18,629$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.62 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Liquid | 36c | 16,527$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.7 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…5d5fbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 15,804$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…59ddbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 15,500$10,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 66c | 15,277$10,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.21 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Team Spirit | 74c | 14,483$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed Team Liquid | 38c | 13,407$5,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,094.62 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 13,262$9,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.37 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 10,500$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.99 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Spirit | 64c | 10,000$6,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.41 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 63c | 9,248$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.83 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 8,481$3,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Liquid | 35c | 8,053$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.12 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Team Spirit | 63c | 7,505$4,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.46 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Team Liquid | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 7,373$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.53 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Liquid | 28c | 7,136$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 7,000$4,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.13 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Liquid | 19c | 6,771$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.33 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Spirit | 64c | 6,658$4,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.23 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Liquid | 31c | 6,428$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.22 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 68c | 6,422$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.27 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc585…8244backed Team Liquid | 37c | 6,126$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed Team Spirit | 68c | 6,108$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 23c | 5,546$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.86 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Team Liquid | 31c | 5,332$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.06 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Team Liquid | 36c | 5,308$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.87 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Liquid | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 4,865$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 25c | 4,849$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.77 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 35c | 4,702$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.64 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Spirit | 67c | 4,675$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 38c | 4,674$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.29 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 31c | 4,619$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.72 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 68c | 4,426$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.89 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Team Liquid | 32c | 4,423$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.96 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Spirit | 65c | 4,204$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.99 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 4,195$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.91 | 325 | 48.9%159 W · 166 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd0…4a43backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,814$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Spirit | 66c | 3,720$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.8 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Team Liquid | 37c | 3,680$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.11 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 3,676$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.87 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Liquid | 38c | 3,536$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.76 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 3,470$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.45 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 3,423$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…b2e1backed Team Spirit | 70c | 3,388$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.36 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Spirit | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.79 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 25c | 3,271$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.4 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 75c | 3,205$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.66 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Liquid | 31c | 3,203$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.78 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed Team Spirit | 63c | 3,160$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.38 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 15c | 3,114$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.05 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 3,054$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.11 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,977$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.15 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 24c | 2,847$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.71 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Liquid | 23c | 2,781$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.9 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,763$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.34 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,700$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,686$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.06 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 2,615$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,600$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.98 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Team Spirit | 72c | 2,577$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.93 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Liquid | 37c | 2,444$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.28 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 2,400$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 28c | 2,282$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Liquid | 32c | 2,234$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Liquid | 35c | 2,169$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 30c | 2,150$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 79c | 2,143$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.3 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Spirit | 70c | 2,133$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Spirit | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,106$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 2,089$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.66 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Liquid | 2c | 2,053$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Liquid | 11c | 2,022$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Liquid | 21c | 2,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 36c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.99 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 1,947$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.68 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,872$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,813$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.13 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,809$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.79 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.