TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x891a…f778

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$458.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$409.86
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+275.4%+$425.22
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.91
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$875.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$662Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$206.32
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$328.99
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$400.01
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)backed Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.99
Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.11
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 9backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Map Handicap: MZP (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)backed Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.57
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Liquid (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$207.64
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.1
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$187.7
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$127.38
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$26.14
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.45
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Falcons (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.75
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.59
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.8
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$93.6
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.68
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.92
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+156.5%+$441.49
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$132.21
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.6
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$352.78
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$589.08
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.8
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$136.56
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.58
Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$667.32
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.12
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.31
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Syntax - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Syntax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - Asgard Championship Playoffsbacked PuckChamp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.34
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$28.38
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.4
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Spirit Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Dota 2: Dandelions vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dandelions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$108.9
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$89.76
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.