Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd7600d63e4bbf13b028f5d6539c7c8b2ddb4afcff3089cb35a3098a82e6c50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 59c | 13,362$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,462.68 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 43c | 4,357$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.42 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 2,950$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.66 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 58c | 1,736$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.88 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 45c | 1,450$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.29 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…a663backed Over | 44c | 1,354$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Over | 40c | 1,139$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Over | 40c | 970.87$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.35 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Over | 41c | 829$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 40c | 821.75$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Over | 40c | 807$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…defdbacked Over | 40c | 728.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 538.37$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 77c | 519.02$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Over | 51c | 469.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 52c | 384.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 47c | 366.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Over | 41c | 343.3$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.75 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 41c | 286.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Over | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…ab9ebacked Under | 52c | 243.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Under | 42c | 236.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 56c | 233.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 230.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 52c | 225.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 41c | 215.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Over | 40c | 210.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Under | 59c | 207.38$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Over | 51c | 197.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…62c8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Over | 55c | 179.13$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 42c | 177.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.76 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 56c | 167.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 41c | 164.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 40c | 130.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 40c | 124.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…e7cbbacked Over | 50c | 122.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Over | 44c | 111.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Over | 40c | 110.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…36eebacked Over | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…6df5backed Under | 52c | 57.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 52c | 48.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 529 | 45.9%243 W · 286 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 43c | 39.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 41c | 37.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…13f8backed Over | 57c | 35.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…db7abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…7767backed Under | 52c | 28.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…f08bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…1297backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fed…e9cabacked Over | 60c | 24.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed Over | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0911…b92dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…8748backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651d…a588backed Over | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 3?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.