TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, Karmine Corp
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ac7…8a43backed Karmine Corp15c12,791$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.9618132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4202…9d36backed Dplus KIA54c3,741$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Karmine Corp74c2,750$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.286860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked Dplus KIA26c1,905$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.3230854.5%168 W · 140 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Dplus KIA72c1,436$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.2670641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Karmine Corp31c1,307$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7910150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Dplus KIA75c1,169$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.79460.6%57 W · 37 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Dplus KIA23c1,163$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.761,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp44c1,010$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.81,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Karmine Corp73c1,000$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.335125.5%13 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Karmine Corp74c879.61$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1263751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Karmine Corp77c797.94$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.8514949%73 W · 76 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp61c776.65$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.791,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ce…6c4abacked Dplus KIA26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.2357847.8%276 W · 302 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Dplus KIA27c725.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.9343640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Karmine Corp72c657.72$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5632955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed Dplus KIA25c617.04$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.7810449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a63…5b30backed Dplus KIA28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.7117152%89 W · 82 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Dplus KIA39c500$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3061,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Dplus KIA26c499.98$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9916546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dplus KIA32c469.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.951,05650.4%532 W · 524 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2248…bc0ebacked Karmine Corp32c401.83$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.9919745.2%89 W · 108 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe98…85b1backed Karmine Corp38c394.49$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1487742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Dplus KIA37c376.92$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1168049%333 W · 347 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1636…977bbacked Dplus KIA27c370.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.425856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Dplus KIA27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.377451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Dplus KIA20c362$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.61,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Dplus KIA28c360.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1223730%71 W · 166 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Dplus KIA39c336.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.432951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…0435backed Karmine Corp77c315.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Dplus KIA76c314.08$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3822565.3%147 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp73c295.96$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0596749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Karmine Corp63c253.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1713030.8%40 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…ebbcbacked Dplus KIA63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+167%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Dplus KIA24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1909341.9%39 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Dplus KIA27c225.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2655744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Dplus KIA26c223.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.168350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Karmine Corp58c218.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8134742.1%146 W · 201 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Karmine Corp63c216.71$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.531435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb855…c1bebacked Karmine Corp62c212.82$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8210252%53 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b8…36ddbacked Karmine Corp75c206.67$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Karmine Corp74c202.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Karmine Corp60c202.29$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8770443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0072…88b6backed Karmine Corp75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Karmine Corp61c195.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3231439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Karmine Corp41c194.23$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5734351.3%176 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Dplus KIA26c150.82$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0982954.5%452 W · 377 L+3.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Karmine Corp76c144.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11028250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5088…cfc5backed Dplus KIA39c142.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.663745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba1…3820backed Karmine Corp77c142.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7614254.9%78 W · 64 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed Karmine Corp74c139.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.591942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Dplus KIA26c114.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6818849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb202…04adbacked Karmine Corp76c111.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.582564%16 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Dplus KIA27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.116457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39b…c3e6backed Dplus KIA45c110.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.134148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Karmine Corp74c100.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.43951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Karmine Corp75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2944…cf36backed Dplus KIA59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked Karmine Corp68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Dplus KIA32c99.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.797846.2%36 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Dplus KIA26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1592354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA61c87.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp47c85.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.193,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed Karmine Corp37c85.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.497889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Dplus KIA37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0815450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Karmine Corp60c76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.336051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…c0d1backed Dplus KIA26c75.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.526350.6%133 W · 130 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0720051.5%103 W · 97 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Dplus KIA26c73.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.191,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Karmine Corp75c72.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2834340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d9…77acbacked Karmine Corp19c68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Karmine Corp75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038051.1%194 W · 186 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe332…d5e9backed Karmine Corp77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030766.4%204 W · 103 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Karmine Corp74c60.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515060.7%91 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6b0…69eebacked Dplus KIA34c59.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.174242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked Karmine Corp55c58.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.264555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Karmine Corp74c50.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.738350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Dplus KIA38c50.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3914348.3%69 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b0…4d1ebacked Karmine Corp75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.58245.1%37 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbc1…99bbbacked Dplus KIA21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53941%16 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff77…75dcbacked Karmine Corp61c48.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Dplus KIA37c47.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1236560.3%220 W · 145 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…2057backed Dplus KIA49c46.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.94825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651d…a588backed Dplus KIA52c43.36$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Dplus KIA39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.420239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c20…bd85backed Dplus KIA40c37.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6311439.5%45 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed Karmine Corp67c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3521344.6%95 W · 118 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karmine Corp59c33.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.922,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Karmine Corp54c33.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3425737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Dplus KIA45c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.031,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Karmine Corp61c32.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2059341.8%248 W · 345 L-16.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Karmine Corp60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3910…4ffbbacked Karmine Corp76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick47cpaid-69.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Dplus KIA64c26.28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.461764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Karmine Corp59c24.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Karmine Corp66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159357%53 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Dplus KIA70c22.16$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5824959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b92…f8d7backed Karmine Corp74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77d1…178cbacked Karmine Corp69c19.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Karmine Corp74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.112335.8%44 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.