Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x576dff0b08fab83cd06cde80602c7c67b20f39294682c368278f0794c1793ffb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Dplus KIA | 52c | 15,362$7,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,384.43 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 11,838$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.9 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 10,100$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.92 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…9198backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Dplus KIA | 52c | 9,924$5,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.54 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 9,887$5,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.49 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 9,597$4,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,396.7 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 8,887$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,195.23 | 591 | 48.2%285 W · 306 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 6,442$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 4,001$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 3,975$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.82 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Dplus KIA | 51c | 3,621$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.36 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +55%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…4ef1backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Dplus KIA | 70c | 2,701$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.99 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Dplus KIA | 68c | 2,500$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.2 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…36e7backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 2,428$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp | 26c | 2,112$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.3 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,941$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.79 | 633 | 44.5%282 W · 351 L | -18.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,819$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.24 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Dplus KIA | 51c | 1,770$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.58 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 1,746$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.83 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 1,659$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.34 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,616$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.36 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dplus KIA | 49c | 1,573$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.98 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,411$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Dplus KIA | 51c | 1,389$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.59 | 824 | 54.9%452 W · 372 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,221$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA | 67c | 1,221$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 1,113$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.18 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 1,065$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.92 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Karmine Corp | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,001$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.29 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 237 | 49.4%117 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 992.26$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.87 | 1,044 | 50.4%526 W · 518 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 984.36$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.18 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Dplus KIA | 53c | 951$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.97 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 921.1$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 832$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Dplus KIA | 57c | 822.72$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.69 | 361 | 55.4%200 W · 161 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 797.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 732.04$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.06 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Dplus KIA | 52c | 715.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.38 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Dplus KIA | 51c | 642.25$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Dplus KIA | 51c | 626.54$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.33 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked Dplus KIA | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 561.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 550.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.95 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 517.59$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.63 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 507.68$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 487.43$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.72 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0e41backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 419$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 418.14$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.07 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Dplus KIA | 60c | 416.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 399.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.9 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…2feabacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 398.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51f…1093backed Dplus KIA | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Dplus KIA | 51c | 389.9$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.19 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Dplus KIA | 53c | 361.57$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8e…e4a3backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 332.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -70%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 322.32$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 403 | 37.7%152 W · 251 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…977bbacked Dplus KIA | 51c | 313.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 309.05$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Dplus KIA | 63c | 303.66$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 300.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Karmine Corp | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Karmine Corp | 32c | 298.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 290.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…c6d2backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…701ebacked Dplus KIA | 50c | 258$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 253.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 214.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.06 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Dplus KIA | 72c | 209.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Dplus KIA | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…4c28backed Dplus KIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…f62cbacked Dplus KIA | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Karmine Corp | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 192.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39b…c3e6backed Dplus KIA | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 2?Karmine Corp won
- First Blood in Game 3?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.