TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd75f…ddcb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 51 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,706.65
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,890
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$899.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$778.13
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,680
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,650
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.48
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.58
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,759.98
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,433.28
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$214.53
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,699.99
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,497Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,403
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,814Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,813.9
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,695Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,695.45
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,200
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185.61
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,217.01
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$733.85
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,139.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,793Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,866.55
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$880
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,182.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,337.65
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,989.81
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kingsbacked Sacramento Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.