NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8549486ddbf058f96eb7a17cf7f37626603dceb157b5c7648a4e27a45db54092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Wizardsof Washington Wizards, Sacramento Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Sacramento Kings | 0c | 10,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Sacramento Kings | 0c | 5,900$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sacramento Kings | 22c | 4,054$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.93 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Washington Wizards | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.94 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Washington Wizards | 56c | 2,400$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.25 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Sacramento Kings | 1c | 1,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sacramento Kings | 41c | 1,901$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.6 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Sacramento Kings | 52c | 1,653$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.31 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sacramento Kings | 43c | 1,471$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Sacramento Kings | 23c | 1,289$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sacramento Kings | 43c | 1,004$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Washington Wizards | 51c | 760.21$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.38 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sacramento Kings | 45c | 741$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.45 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Washington Wizards | 55c | 728$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Washington Wizards | 51c | 684.21$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.26 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Sacramento Kings | 43c | 678.33$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.43 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Sacramento Kings | 50c | 645.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked Sacramento Kings | 42c | 638.84$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Sacramento Kings | 28c | 600.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 249 | 48.2%120 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Sacramento Kings | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Washington Wizards | 39c | 553.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sacramento Kings | 28c | 480.85$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.72 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Washington Wizards | 57c | 317.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Sacramento Kings | 25c | 269.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Washington Wizards | 56c | 262.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Sacramento Kings | 56c | 248.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Wizards | 50c | 233.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sacramento Kings | 12c | 207.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…4750backed Washington Wizards | 52c | 205.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sacramento Kings | 14c | 203.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Sacramento Kings | 39c | 200.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Sacramento Kings | 42c | 199.79$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…cf4bbacked Sacramento Kings | 43c | 189.2$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Washington Wizards | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Sacramento Kings | 44c | 159.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Sacramento Kings | 17c | 153.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x376f…5a0ebacked Washington Wizards | 59c | 142.86$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Washington Wizards | 57c | 133.1$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 271 | 45.4%123 W · 148 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Wizards | 56c | 116.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Wizards | 72c | 109.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Sacramento Kings | 44c | 105$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sacramento Kings | 43c | 102.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sacramento Kings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Washington Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Sacramento Kings | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 92.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Sacramento Kings | 17c | 90.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Washington Wizards | 55c | 88.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…6a0cbacked Washington Wizards | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…5966backed Sacramento Kings | 49c | 79.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…73debacked Sacramento Kings | 15c | 79.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6272…698ebacked Sacramento Kings | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Wizards | 58c | 75.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 75.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Washington Wizards | 57c | 70.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Sacramento Kings | 44c | 67.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Washington Wizards | 56c | 64.73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sacramento Kings | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Sacramento Kings | 41c | 60.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Sacramento Kings | 25c | 53.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Washington Wizards | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Sacramento Kings | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Washington Wizards | 72c | 48.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Sacramento Kings | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Washington Wizards | 67c | 44.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d25…e38bbacked Washington Wizards | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sacramento Kings | 44c | 44.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Washington Wizards | 43c | 39.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…4758backed Sacramento Kings | 47c | 38.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Washington Wizards | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbe…04b0backed Washington Wizards | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sacramento Kings | 46c | 28.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Sacramento Kings | 44c | 26.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Washington Wizards | 57c | 23.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Washington Wizards | 58c | 22.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Washington Wizards | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Sacramento Kings | 51c | 20.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Washington Wizards | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Washington Wizards | 57c | 18.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Washington Wizards | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Sacramento Kings | 61c | 16.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.