TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9013…4750

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.69
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Sofia Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smithbacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Winnipeg: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Johannus Mondaybacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.47
Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres Martinbacked Dhakshineswar Suresh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+316.2%+$141.37
Athens Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alina Korneevabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Sebastian Baezbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.01
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$23.7
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.69
Athens Open: Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovichbacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pozoblanco: Yi Zhou vs Stefan Kozlovbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$24.3
Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewartbacked Hamish Stewart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Halle Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.7
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.85
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.01
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.81
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.35
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.33
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-75.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-62.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$257Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$229
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+327.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$46.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.