Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f1e691a64f6855c9ca8a08bc56c8b404dffa9ade1347767d90161d0acce47f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alana Smithof Lea Ma, Alana Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $300,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lea Ma | 55c | 12,749$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.3 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lea Ma | 43c | 12,539$5,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,408.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Smith | 49c | 9,144$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alana Smith | 40c | 8,752$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.74 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Alana Smith | 50c | 8,096$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.5 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…06d6backed Alana Smith | 55c | 6,775$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Lea Ma | 54c | 6,718$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Alana Smith | 51c | 6,453$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,152.83 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lea Ma | 50c | 5,979$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.35 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lea Ma | 49c | 5,347$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Alana Smith | 57c | 5,191$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.63 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Alana Smith | 55c | 4,668$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lea Ma | 47c | 4,079$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.05 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lea Ma | 46c | 3,725$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.32 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alana Smith | 57c | 2,851$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.64 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Alana Smith | 64c | 2,814$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.9 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Lea Ma | 77c | 2,597$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Alana Smith | 56c | 2,589$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Alana Smith | 59c | 2,543$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.85 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Lea Ma | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lea Ma | 46c | 1,976$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.46 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alana Smith | 57c | 1,913$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.23 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alana Smith | 63c | 1,803$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.04 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Alana Smith | 61c | 1,687$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Lea Ma | 50c | 1,524$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.82 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alana Smith | 63c | 1,486$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.24 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Lea Ma | 42c | 1,332$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.62 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Alana Smith | 57c | 1,292$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.48 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Lea Ma | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Alana Smith | 26c | 1,218$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.6 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Alana Smith | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Lea Ma | 45c | 1,055$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.49 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Alana Smith | 52c | 973.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.15 | 175 | 54.3%95 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…ae18backed Alana Smith | 54c | 968.09$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.32 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Alana Smith | 49c | 895$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.91 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lea Ma | 8c | 889.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lea Ma | 55c | 867.11$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.55 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Lea Ma | 51c | 851.49$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.8 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Lea Ma | 16c | 800$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Alana Smith | 55c | 726.93$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 182 | 61.5%112 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lea Ma | 50c | 699.98$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…fdd4backed Lea Ma | 31c | 687.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Alana Smith | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alana Smith | 65c | 634.06$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lea Ma | 57c | 589.94$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.94 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Lea Ma | 3c | 532.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Lea Ma | 48c | 531.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Lea Ma | 47c | 529.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…4dbcbacked Alana Smith | 57c | 528.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed Alana Smith | 56c | 485$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Alana Smith | 45c | 475.46$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…16cabacked Lea Ma | 53c | 471.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alana Smith | 53c | 464.16$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Alana Smith | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Alana Smith | 38c | 450$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked Alana Smith | 20c | 418.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.56 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Alana Smith | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alana Smith | 59c | 399.17$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lea Ma | 57c | 358.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.54 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Lea Ma | 56c | 357.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Alana Smith | 23c | 356.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Alana Smith | 60c | 338$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Alana Smith | 23c | 306.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.36 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Alana Smith | 50c | 300.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Lea Ma | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alana Smith | 54c | 293.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Lea Ma | 11c | 278.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Lea Ma | 49c | 277.24$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Alana Smith | 23c | 277$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Lea Ma | 16c | 262.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Alana Smith | 28c | 260$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…1b0abacked Alana Smith | 58c | 256$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Alana Smith | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Alana Smith | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bad…4e22backed Lea Ma | 43c | 244.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Lea Ma | 42c | 243.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Lea Ma | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Lea Ma | 42c | 227.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Lea Ma | 76c | 222$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Alana Smith | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Alana Smith | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Lea Ma | 72c | 208$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Lea Ma | 76c | 203.63$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.76 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lea Ma | 31c | 197.34$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.07 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alana Smith | 50c | 195.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lea Ma | 56c | 193.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Alana Smith | 63c | 191.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Alana Smith | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lea Ma | 54c | 183.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Alana Smith | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Alana Smith | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…f1f1backed Lea Ma | 13c | 173.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Alana Smith | 54c | 171.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Lea Ma | 34c | 167.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lea Ma | 53c | 149.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Alana Smith | 58c | 149.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alana Smith | 23c | 139.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Lea Ma | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Lea Ma | 77c | 131.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…3c18backed Lea Ma | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Ma vs SmithSmith won
- Set 2 Winner: Ma vs SmithSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.