TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f64…2aac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT7452.7%39 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Gentofte: Linea Bajraliu vs Lucia Cortez Llorcabacked Linea Bajraliu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.4
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smithbacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Christopher O'Connell vs Andres Martinbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Mei Yamaguchibacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$94.99
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Francesca Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.75
ITF Gentofte: Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Johanne Christine Svendsenbacked Johanne Christine Svendsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Nina Radovanovicbacked Nina Radovanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burelbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Zug: Max Hans Rehberg vs Anton Matusevichbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$39.28
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.1
Estoril Open: Tiago Torres vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$23.23
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaevabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$15.47
Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigurbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Adrian Andreescubacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33%+$32.98
Livesport Prague Open: Mai Hontama vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+41%+$41.45
Segovia: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Ivan Marrerobacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.17
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.4
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$27.68
Livesport Prague Open: Maya Joint vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$37.13
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+60.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.74
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.7
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$133.85
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$293.33
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29%+$145.16
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$61.57
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST80%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$99.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$83.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.