TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadaof Canada, Finland
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,811,528
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,992,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,811,528 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Finland21c672,020$140,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,757.412737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Canada79c318,487$251,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,882.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Canada79c234,141$184,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,239.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Canada79c106,877$84,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,517.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked Canada51c64,981$33,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,689.314100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Finland21c56,806$12,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,148.4450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Finland21c52,390$11,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,001.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Canada79c40,544$31,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,715.782128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-55.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaee6…e759backed Finland0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Finland22c34,999$7,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,699.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Finland55c32,943$18,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,017.932321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Finland21c30,000$6,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3503616.7%6 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Finland39c27,502$10,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,741.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Canada79c25,316$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,316.461216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bd…238ebacked Canada78c23,628$18,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,198.091838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Finland44c17,506$7,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,733.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc857…9e70backed Canada80c17,106$13,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Finland39c16,375$6,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,402.391136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canada77c13,850$10,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.123941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9c…b9bebacked Finland24c13,648$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea7…5fe6backed Finland1c13,505$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Canada59c12,822$7,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ed…4ae2backed Canada79c12,799$10,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Canada80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Canada79c12,411$9,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Finland37c12,130$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,442.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+117.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Canada72c10,832$7,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,085.381643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d7…1252backed Finland69c10,292$7,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,08810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Canada74c10,083$7,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,588.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Canada58c10,046$5,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65f3…e4c6backed Finland0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Canada78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Finland38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Canada78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f3…bf55backed Canada78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Finland48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.981921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Finland26c9,557$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…e63cbacked Finland31c9,468$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked Canada53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canada78c9,329$7,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.45128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-89.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Canada67c9,000$5,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Finland22c8,893$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Finland21c8,711$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.931050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fc0…d2cebacked Finland7c8,353$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Canada63c8,130$5,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,008.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Canada79c8,000$6,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Finland36c8,000$2,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.72100%0 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Finland32c8,000$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.97944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ff…8c8bbacked Canada74c6,680$4,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cf…f6cebacked Canada59c6,413$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Canada67c6,240$4,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,083.121855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Canada39c6,182$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.74560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Finland38c5,908$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Canada77c5,807$4,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Finland22c5,725$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.87560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Canada52c5,292$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Finland35c4,999$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.714325.6%11 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Canada79c4,606$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Finland21c4,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Finland22c4,465$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1f…0a20backed Finland23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd114…15d9backed Canada41c4,249$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,506.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Finland25c4,239$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.03293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-92.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Canada60c4,158$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Canada74c4,133$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.94666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Canada74c4,042$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.351258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Finland21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Finland22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-84.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Canada65c3,877$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.031526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Finland25c3,750$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9451338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Finland33c3,562$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.482740.7%11 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Finland0c3,550$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+596.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Finland38c3,450$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Canada76c3,330$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-62.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Canada78c3,147$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.241030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Finland24c3,109$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-42.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Finland42c3,022$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Finland21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630120%0 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa39c…08bcbacked Canada61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1702100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Canada79c2,973$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.07250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Canada73c2,960$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.86100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+64%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33d2…952ebacked Canada71c2,822$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe523…0643backed Finland21c2,778$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Canada67c2,766$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7f…b0cfbacked Canada74c2,693$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa34…2ccbbacked Finland24c2,686$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Finland27c2,561$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.293625%9 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Canada79c2,521$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Finland23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Finland23c2,493$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Canada42c2,410$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x434b…adb4backed Canada78c2,376$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Canada47c2,348$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.74650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Canada43c2,331$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.32520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Canada78c2,151$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Canada79c2,130$1,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Finland27c2,129$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9082…e0a7backed Finland22c2,025$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Finland24c2,018$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.051421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Finland31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.