Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Emma Ottavia Ghirardato vs Nina Radovanovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15b3a9cf92d8be272adb88bbf318d85d56c8b8c3014448d956c6d818f23d8cf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nina Radovanovicof Emma Ottavia Ghirardato, Nina Radovanovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 13,227$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 12,178$9,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nina Radovanovic | 75c | 1,625$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.35 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 1,267$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.96 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…4ffcbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 12c | 880.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 34c | 652$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 503.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 17c | 376.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Nina Radovanovic | 72c | 372.82$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Nina Radovanovic | 75c | 340$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 24c | 305$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 13c | 279.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 15c | 264.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Nina Radovanovic | 75c | 260.32$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 244.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 22c | 214.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…ed02backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 6c | 210$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 20c | 187$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 168.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 158.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Nina Radovanovic | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Nina Radovanovic | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 16c | 94.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6075…2f82backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 18c | 93.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 18c | 90.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…c93dbacked Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 19c | 79.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361a…ea72backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 15c | 76.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 16c | 74.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 16c | 66.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Nina Radovanovic | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Nina Radovanovic | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nina Radovanovic | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Nina Radovanovic | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 31.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…158bbacked Nina Radovanovic | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nina Radovanovic | 79c | 22.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Nina Radovanovic | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 496 | 58.1%288 W · 208 L | +32.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.