CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f78550ab70513af918afb13129b21b3f5b701c1c2849bc7bb3481164dbe3f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof Favbet, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3079…1d64backed Favbet | 54c | 5,780$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 4,213$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.58 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HyperSpirit | 47c | 3,189$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.99 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 64c | 1,594$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.47 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 43c | 834.08$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.89 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Favbet | 67c | 659.27$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.48 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Favbet | 43c | 499.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 26c | 432.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.08 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…8c71backed Favbet | 73c | 410.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed HyperSpirit | 25c | 402$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.24 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79a…9167backed Favbet | 74c | 385.03$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 342.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Favbet | 67c | 228.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd9…b321backed Favbet | 70c | 219$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…18dfbacked HyperSpirit | 62c | 206$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Favbet | 74c | 177.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Favbet | 73c | 175.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…2aacbacked Favbet | 61c | 165.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Favbet | 73c | 146.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 144.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Favbet | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HyperSpirit | 48c | 134.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 110.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed HyperSpirit | 78c | 102.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Favbet | 75c | 87.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Favbet | 64c | 82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 960 | 49.7%477 W · 483 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed HyperSpirit | 59c | 64.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked HyperSpirit | 21c | 64.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 32c | 62.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Favbet | 51c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed Favbet | 21c | 51.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Favbet | 58c | 47.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 44.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Favbet | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Favbet | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4d5fbacked Favbet | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Favbet | 37c | 33.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked HyperSpirit | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…d632backed HyperSpirit | 80c | 28.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 23.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…c016backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…a3e8backed Favbet | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerHyperSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.