TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2510…60ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tweets, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6564.6%42 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $100 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$161.09
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$23.35
Will Solana reach $100 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$33.79
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36.73
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.5%+$29.26
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150.3%+$484.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.6%+$41.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.7%+$92.42
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$232.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$116.5
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$155.79
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+139.7%+$27.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 February 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$340.15
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+68%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$142.74
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+337.7%+$675.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$98.86
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$46.52
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+148.9%+$193.63
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+288.6%+$132.33
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$163.53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+232%+$46.63
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+112%+$77.72
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+133.5%+$164.98
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+261.7%+$49.72
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+1,649.6%+$891.96
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.32
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+113.7%+$24.77
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.5%+$35.45
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$817Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$372.05
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.19
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.86
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Counter-Strike: DashSkins vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffsbacked DashSkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs ShindeN (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Abacked ShindeN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked bond1e · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Sinners (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+458%+$246.1
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - A1 Gaming League Playoffsbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$17.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+130.3%+$120.92
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
All 22 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+132.4%+$247.94
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$39.15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.61
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.71
Grokipedia released by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.33
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.8
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+37.4%+$80.11
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$88.92
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.04
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+68.2%+$49.4
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.82
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+112.6%+$41.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.37per pick49cpaid-75%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+75.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.3%+$47.06
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Dern vs. Jandirobabacked Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$70.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.17
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$27.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+159.1%+$87.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$34.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$163.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.