Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7035ca4a1e2087fda1e3e457b95b2fc7b427f09ef8d5352135cce8c152981faa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 17,000$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Yes | 56c | 13,740$7,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…bce7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 47c | 7,078$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.48 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…fb85backed No | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…058dbacked No | 69c | 3,163$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.9 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed No | 1c | 3,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed No | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed No | 12c | 2,103$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 54c | 2,099$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.31 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…0414backed No | 19c | 1,989$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 55c | 1,827$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 1,795$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…2f1dbacked No | 57c | 1,695$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…1da2backed Yes | 60c | 1,542$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,375$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 17c | 1,274$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…4acbbacked No | 8c | 1,247$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 142 | 2.1%3 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 70c | 949.04$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 13c | 934.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 48c | 898.87$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.95 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 6c | 818.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…4c20backed Yes | 30c | 630.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed Yes | 34c | 540$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 70c | 537.53$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.62 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 37c | 534.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.34 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed No | 55c | 533.3$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 39c | 500.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked Yes | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 6c | 450$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…3469backed No | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 86 | 1.2%1 W · 85 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 7c | 366.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 6c | 333.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 51c | 296.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 21c | 282.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed No | 5c | 278.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 4c | 276.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 9c | 249.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…9ed0backed No | 53c | 243.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.04 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae4e…1315backed Yes | 55c | 230.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 45c | 224.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb72…98c6backed Yes | 51c | 223.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…5d17backed No | 56c | 215.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked No | 25c | 207.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 44c | 205.35$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 37c | 201.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…e0e8backed Yes | 45c | 200.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…92f9backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked Yes | 45c | 180.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…086ebacked No | 7c | 176.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 66c | 176$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…542abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 59c | 170.84$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 43c | 161.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…52bebacked Yes | 56c | 159.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…b412backed Yes | 56c | 156.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…b2d6backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 39c | 155$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked No | 66c | 151.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5e…3921backed Yes | 39c | 143.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 53c | 140.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 8c | 124.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes | 25c | 119.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…e4dabacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…bfa4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9a…b2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880f…631abacked No | 16c | 95.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfa…9bb4backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a7…d389backed No | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 49c | 84.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 40c | 75.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…81b1backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…7607backed Yes | 30c | 67.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…24c0backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 40c | 56.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…0078backed Yes | 42c | 47.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…6088backed Yes | 50c | 44.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2597…239bbacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 28c | 41.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…817ebacked Yes | 31c | 39.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc0…865ebacked Yes | 45c | 35.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313a…8feabacked Yes | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac5…154cbacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…5135backed No | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…4d8abacked Yes | 44c | 27.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 2-8?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.