TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ffc…e4da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: UFC, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devils vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Panthers vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Kraken vs. Ducksbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blue Jackets vs. Devilsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Panthers vs. Bluesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Bruins vs. Rangersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Canucksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Golden Knights vs. Senatorsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Jets vs. Senatorsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+69.5%+$10.42
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.44
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$65.88
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+130.9%+$405.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+63.1%+$189.16
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+60.8%+$364.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$349
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win 3 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$133
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.