NBA · resolved market
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc26b4fd76b0b5546bfda17f4303a026d8857fb0780d57715549c714c9c0d7fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,897,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,864,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,897,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 12,352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 48c | 174,650$84,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,670.12 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 9c | 110,773$10,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,086.62 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 48c | 101,132$49,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,047.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ef…cbebbacked No | 44c | 89,000$39,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…de49backed Yes | 56c | 89,000$49,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…0ecfbacked Yes | 56c | 89,000$49,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 55c | 61,278$33,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,551.63 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 51c | 52,366$26,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,802.45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 53c | 51,361$27,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,445.63 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 46c | 39,634$18,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,200.66 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 47c | 38,849$18,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,227.01 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 58c | 38,579$22,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,315.14 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Yes | 37c | 31,546$11,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,641.46 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…b767backed Yes | 49c | 27,065$13,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,319.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 56c | 23,280$13,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,008.33 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 5c | 17,821$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.7 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 17,030$9,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.46 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 49c | 16,576$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,126.7 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…4e5bbacked Yes | 58c | 15,809$9,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,227.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.43per pick | 55cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 55c | 15,216$8,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,401.07 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 50c | 15,191$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.56 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked Yes | 55c | 15,001$8,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,318.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Yes | 45c | 14,459$6,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 47c | 12,246$5,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.28 | 129 | 30.2%39 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 52c | 12,042$6,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,795.86 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 43c | 11,848$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,146.97 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes | 56c | 10,844$6,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,091.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 47c | 10,407$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.77 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed No | 50c | 9,966$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…b528backed Yes | 50c | 9,966$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b61…5b01backed No | 55c | 8,879$4,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 30c | 7,380$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.44 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed No | 46c | 7,342$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000.07 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 49c | 7,300$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 56c | 7,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.99 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc441…92eabacked Yes | 42c | 6,819$2,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 6,448$3,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.09 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 52c | 6,434$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.75 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…d2f9backed Yes | 46c | 6,038$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,811$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.63 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 58c | 5,700$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.96 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…2c21backed Yes | 35c | 5,475$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed No | 48c | 5,376$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.78 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 48c | 4,375$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf607…c1dfbacked Yes | 51c | 4,323$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 43c | 4,188$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.9 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,104$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.69 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.95 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…503abacked Yes | 51c | 3,979$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…3728backed Yes | 49c | 3,900$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 45c | 3,744$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…6b28backed No | 55c | 3,641$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 16c | 3,634$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.55 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Yes | 47c | 3,267$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8055…44c4backed Yes | 49c | 3,200$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…11c5backed Yes | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 43c | 3,100$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 122 | 29.5%36 W · 86 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…2c74backed Yes | 51c | 2,998$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Yes | 54c | 2,849$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.71 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 55c | 2,817$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.43 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 11c | 2,737$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.75 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…d9ebbacked Yes | 37c | 2,731$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…5f03backed Yes | 37c | 2,730$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…74d3backed Yes | 37c | 2,709$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e5…7b73backed Yes | 37c | 2,708$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 60c | 2,685$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.33 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 27c | 2,620$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…4a76backed Yes | 39c | 2,590$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 48c | 2,450$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.97 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked Yes | 53c | 2,332$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 2,305$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.37 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…f22bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,300$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 14c | 2,256$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…93e7backed No | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 41c | 2,104$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.34 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…4213backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…989bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 32c | 2,030$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.15 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…79d1backed Yes | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 47c | 1,941$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +122%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…f052backed No | 50c | 1,899$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb1…ffe6backed No | 46c | 1,898$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,865$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.93 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,857$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.47 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 50c | 1,855$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…021dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,830$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…e322backed Yes | 49c | 1,800$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 56c | 1,797$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.02 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 64c | 1,761$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.81 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9260backed No | 52c | 1,713$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbc…d962backed Yes | 46c | 1,694$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…3ce7backed Yes | 57c | 1,600$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…56d8backed Yes | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa87f…1509backed Yes | 47c | 1,515$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.