TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,891,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,988,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,891,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 432 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8038…18fbbacked Yes0c1,338,324$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,353.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9178…e8c0backed Yes0c1,309,230$5,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,236.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c1,089,445$2,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,686.39563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa015…fe94backed Yes0c756,754$3,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,027.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe413…1dbbbacked Yes0c727,648$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe538…dcb4backed Yes0c711,725$2,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,846.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c0…8faabacked Yes0c697,200$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e16…151abacked Yes0c668,817$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6e…aea2backed Yes0c639,738$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef8…124abacked Yes0c599,862$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018e…cbcebacked Yes0c599,862$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d21…f91ebacked Yes1c580,474$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…5b4bbacked Yes1c568,854$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ae…bc66backed Yes0c551,950$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8527…c6abbacked Yes0c551,950$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…e720backed Yes1c523,172$2,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,615.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf456…00a1backed Yes1c507,946$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a18…c094backed Yes1c501,870$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,509.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x969d…3392backed Yes1c499,222$2,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,496.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443f…c69cbacked Yes1c484,138$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2035…3fdcbacked Yes1c481,206$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8549…4629backed Yes1c468,942$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf050…6c03backed Yes1c459,086$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d59…7efdbacked Yes1c445,042$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,225.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd981…4551backed Yes0c436,026$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01f8…51dcbacked Yes1c434,888$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec8…52e5backed Yes1c432,452$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a4…8d8abacked Yes1c418,496$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7657…9d01backed Yes1c416,596$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7a…a932backed Yes1c414,066$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf252…9e45backed Yes0c406,956$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x868e…1afabacked Yes1c385,376$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb150…726bbacked Yes1c379,170$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf434…4244backed Yes1c368,604$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0c…aaaabacked Yes1c364,028$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf7…73eebacked Yes1c350,294$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf7…e47fbacked Yes1c346,522$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2554…c442backed Yes1c340,030$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f6…58d2backed Yes1c328,204$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…2488backed Yes1c326,818$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb411…dde5backed Yes1c315,558$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc84c…5d36backed Yes1c300,100$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725b…c22ebacked Yes1c292,320$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5b…1cd3backed Yes1c262,986$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf90…e7cfbacked Yes1c252,034$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b3…258abacked Yes1c225,118$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132f…86ccbacked Yes1c221,576$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a81…787fbacked Yes1c210,502$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd771…a1cfbacked Yes1c159,588$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a4…4d01backed Yes1c127,030$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.43156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-91.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab42…90debacked Yes1c124,324$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c119,577$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.151978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c89,662$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9211337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes0c74,999$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7d…aa94backed Yes0c60,333$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c57,591$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.362130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…8f74backed Yes0c57,569$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a34…b5e1backed Yes0c57,568$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a8…b25ebacked Yes2c57,505$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c57,064$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.19462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…7cfebacked Yes0c55,170$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7fa…ce0fbacked Yes0c55,169$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bc…e8a7backed Yes0c55,169$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e93…ef96backed Yes0c55,169$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d4…a2d0backed Yes0c55,169$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf58f…923dbacked Yes0c55,169$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0f…7c62backed Yes0c55,168$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80b9…1d71backed Yes0c52,570$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6649…4f4ebacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72c4…b350backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa7c…d2c9backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec35…9b0abacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc2…7c00backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…3b76backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2989…5f90backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3c…a79ebacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe667…3ecfbacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bea…0b2dbacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db7…8fa9backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e9…f3abbacked Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec99…f745backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c4a…58f5backed Yes0c50,398$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa70f…f8c7backed Yes0c50,378$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5e…f4f0backed Yes0c50,378$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd719…2412backed Yes0c50,378$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc50d…ffa4backed Yes0c50,169$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9653…1b44backed Yes0c50,169$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…2bc7backed Yes0c50,168$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22f…c4e0backed Yes0c50,004$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…3d71backed Yes0c50,004$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4126…1742backed Yes0c50,004$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e7…61d6backed Yes0c50,004$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1691…8dcbbacked Yes0c50,004$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5cd…1754backed Yes0c50,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…1b6fbacked Yes0c50,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc98…a745backed Yes0c50,003$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25f…6e96backed Yes0c45,358$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fde…c075backed Yes0c45,358$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b67…a1c9backed Yes0c45,358$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd096…89b6backed Yes0c45,358$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.