NBA · resolved market
Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd9d59bd4984d26b101e6663a65dbd1490c1760706491185c47bea143d73f70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,567,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,833,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,567,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9432…daa7backed Yes | 0c | 3,118,716$12,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,474.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…ae0ebacked Yes | 0c | 3,060,962$12,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,243.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…f977backed Yes | 0c | 2,533,910$10,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,135.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7d58backed Yes | 0c | 2,334,420$9,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,337.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…f3b7backed Yes | 0c | 2,205,203$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8020…ba30backed Yes | 0c | 2,205,198$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422e…7864backed Yes | 0c | 2,069,496$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf297…fce5backed Yes | 0c | 2,069,491$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…4d23backed Yes | 0c | 659,135$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f7…38a0backed Yes | 0c | 630,476$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 479,996$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ef…2b00backed Yes | 0c | 199,480$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 155,016$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed Yes | 0c | 123,834$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 79,154$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 61,038$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.15 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f5…cb1fbacked Yes | 1c | 59,233$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 58,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…0fc1backed Yes | 1c | 55,036$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…9243backed Yes | 1c | 52,664$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…125fbacked Yes | 1c | 51,930$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,401$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 213 | 0.5%1 W · 212 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…1727backed Yes | 1c | 47,752$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4eb…1598backed Yes | 1c | 47,743$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6530…a35dbacked Yes | 1c | 45,373$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…2ab4backed Yes | 1c | 43,552$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…60cbbacked Yes | 1c | 43,543$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…e267backed Yes | 1c | 43,542$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdef…7564backed Yes | 1c | 41,199$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d3…a878backed Yes | 1c | 41,186$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0582…df20backed Yes | 1c | 41,184$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 0c | 41,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…0f8abacked Yes | 1c | 40,115$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…9e92backed Yes | 1c | 39,364$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…184cbacked Yes | 1c | 39,359$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…1d03backed Yes | 1c | 38,509$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…656abacked Yes | 1c | 36,999$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…be9abacked Yes | 1c | 36,993$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1c1bbacked Yes | 1c | 36,989$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 35,943$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 155 | 0%0 W · 155 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…0d18backed Yes | 1c | 35,171$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…e654backed Yes | 1c | 35,162$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbf…7358backed Yes | 1c | 35,162$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…4e9bbacked Yes | 1c | 35,162$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d80…e2fcbacked Yes | 1c | 33,990$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…0212backed Yes | 0c | 30,957$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7764…dc84backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…c036backed Yes | 0c | 21,557$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 73 | 0%0 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…ed74backed Yes | 1c | 14,347$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…55a3backed Yes | 1c | 14,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe586…f883backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…9fc3backed Yes | 0c | 10,816$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…c091backed Yes | 0c | 10,562$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,562$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…78aebacked Yes | 0c | 10,513$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2178backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1857…c0cebacked Yes | 0c | 8,829$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…e5b0backed Yes | 0c | 8,753$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…664ebacked Yes | 0c | 8,168$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ac…c96fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…e366backed Yes | 1c | 7,836$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…213bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…285bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…72efbacked Yes | 0c | 7,097$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…77f6backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…6c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,423$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…d06cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3d…7a4bbacked Yes | 0c | 6,336$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…59d2backed Yes | 0c | 6,273$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…a82fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…1872backed Yes | 0c | 6,062$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…fa64backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…94fcbacked Yes | 0c | 5,628$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…5dbabacked Yes | 1c | 5,400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…9d1dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…a0d4backed Yes | 1c | 5,220$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c66…bef0backed Yes | 1c | 5,142$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…e1e8backed Yes | 0c | 5,086$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…8fbabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…d9d7backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…8dfebacked Yes | 1c | 4,638$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…1632backed Yes | 1c | 4,600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…8c82backed Yes | 0c | 4,595$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…319dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,562$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cec…bb50backed Yes | 0c | 4,560$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5699backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…56a3backed Yes | 0c | 4,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…29d1backed Yes | 1c | 4,113$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ac…2e4dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,085$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…7452backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 1cpaid | +1,322.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…78b8backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…ae3cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,961$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…6799backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…565fbacked Yes | 0c | 3,700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…e534backed Yes | 0c | 3,637$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…7fbebacked Yes | 1c | 3,537$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8e…3268backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…8cbfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.