TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,812,165
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,811,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,812,165 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x923e…24c9backed Yes0c1,682,393$6,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,729.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81c…1121backed Yes0c1,595,355$6,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,381.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes0c1,367,616$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…c091backed Yes0c1,367,611$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,470.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf814…f835backed Yes0c1,248,921$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d1…b81fbacked Yes0c1,232,385$4,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3d…7d59backed Yes0c1,230,814$4,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,933.5920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdee…88aabacked Yes0c1,226,770$4,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,916.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8681…900abacked Yes0c1,220,238$4,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,882.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b6…1693backed Yes0c1,219,040$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2f2…5a05backed Yes0c1,161,000$4,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,64410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a6…0b2fbacked Yes0c1,044,624$4,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed3…4da6backed Yes0c958,386$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…a904backed Yes0c958,386$3,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc7…f3e2backed Yes0c899,539$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c367,713$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.42563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c142,076$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.181978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c129,999$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes0c80,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c69,999$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c64,813$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.312130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e7…4c23backed Yes1c50,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…d9d7backed Yes0c41,503$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c37,567$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.13462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c34,708$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0211337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c31,600$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac6d…5179backed Yes0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c28,278$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.31994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8069…a58abacked Yes0c27,743$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0724…ce23backed Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes0c24,144$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.143033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdac4…fedebacked Yes0c23,333$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c22,500$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6219backed Yes0c20,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2e…fcd3backed Yes0c17,393$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe586…f883backed Yes0c16,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655e…87bfbacked Yes0c15,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c14,102$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.953525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b14…d016backed Yes0c12,790$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c12,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2fe…8aaabacked Yes0c11,162$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Yes1c11,105$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.954434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x463e…664ebacked Yes0c10,476$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9170%0 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Yes1c10,117$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.233132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xade6…7452backed Yes0c9,333$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%1 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick1cpaid+1,322.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…c685backed Yes0c9,141$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc550…8439backed Yes1c8,832$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a1…5a90backed Yes0c8,755$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Yes0c8,744$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00fc…aaecbacked Yes0c8,250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fc…a188backed Yes1c8,018$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…1f38backed Yes1c7,860$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes0c7,729$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ae…8288backed Yes0c7,651$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…5703backed Yes0c7,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b2…0681backed Yes1c7,480$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf5…fbb4backed Yes1c7,473$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a9…bef0backed Yes0c7,250$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes0c7,221$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.445020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…1efdbacked Yes1c7,210$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21c…d8babacked Yes0c7,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda6…c360backed Yes0c6,900$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x136f…acf6backed Yes0c6,859$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada3…5ff8backed Yes0c6,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2535…1b79backed Yes0c6,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77eb…2657backed Yes1c6,249$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa23…8d7bbacked Yes0c5,901$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c4…8e66backed Yes0c5,500$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc544…bb42backed Yes1c5,448$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b1…96b5backed Yes0c5,344$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b7…190dbacked Yes1c5,304$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b8…ee01backed Yes0c5,250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2140%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57bb…6587backed Yes0c5,229$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb72…98bfbacked Yes0c5,200$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc1…2a5bbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…bb73backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cc9…ef8cbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes1c4,718$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.815628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a2…cf20backed Yes1c4,662$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b60…2d2fbacked Yes0c4,572$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5b…318cbacked Yes0c4,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid-32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0936…8c82backed Yes0c4,500$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee6…fc95backed Yes1c4,492$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba0…25efbacked Yes0c4,231$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c7…df69backed Yes1c4,220$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…245abacked Yes0c4,184$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279c…7ca2backed Yes1c4,038$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6e…a791backed Yes0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96b9…f236backed Yes0c3,857$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a82…faf2backed Yes0c3,852$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f43…184dbacked Yes0c3,813$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fbc…c219backed Yes1c3,800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5568…ec20backed Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10f0…5c84backed Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…17d2backed Yes0c3,580$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…9f5abacked Yes0c3,518$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605c…5363backed Yes1c3,500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202f…afb2backed Yes1c3,473$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65bd…a6a1backed Yes1c3,417$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.