NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb49aeb60fc5454f81c518b8578c0f4e92715193359c6d056b4fee6b1c7e5358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,200,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,033,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,200,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb4…5821backed No | 72c | 620,443$448,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,952.51 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0ba8backed No | 76c | 393,961$298,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,448.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…de49backed No | 70c | 354,000$248,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,040 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…292cbacked No | 71c | 280,000$199,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,185 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…880abacked Yes | 1c | 110,003$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 19c | 84,008$16,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,168.09 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…9357backed No | 65c | 76,000$49,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,372 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…66e6backed No | 65c | 76,000$49,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,372 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…a75dbacked Yes | 35c | 76,000$26,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…831bbacked Yes | 33c | 75,000$24,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,975 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…e167backed Yes | 33c | 75,000$25,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…02bebacked No | 67c | 75,000$50,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,975 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…e987backed No | 67c | 75,000$49,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,050 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…6a6dbacked Yes | 32c | 74,000$23,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,976 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…bdb9backed Yes | 33c | 74,000$24,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e1c2backed No | 68c | 74,000$50,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,976 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…2ee5backed No | 67c | 74,000$49,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…15b9backed Yes | 30c | 72,000$21,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,959.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…2057backed No | 70c | 71,943$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,942.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…5c2bbacked Yes | 30c | 71,000$20,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,945 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…7df2backed No | 70c | 71,000$49,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbf…4c57backed Yes | 30c | 71,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aac…d03abacked No | 71c | 70,900$49,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,915.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…daa8backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…af02backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,370 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78f…793abacked Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794b…cd00backed Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b1…07e1backed No | 71c | 70,000$49,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9378backed Yes | 29c | 70,000$20,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…6f75backed No | 72c | 69,000$49,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,458 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…4311backed Yes | 28c | 69,000$19,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,458 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…aae4backed Yes | 28c | 69,000$19,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…bbcebacked No | 71c | 68,583$48,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,683.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…fc7dbacked No | 73c | 68,000$49,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,088 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…a516backed Yes | 27c | 68,000$18,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,088 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…4557backed Yes | 26c | 67,000$17,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,085 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…5806backed No | 75c | 67,000$49,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,085 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…f66fbacked Yes | 25c | 66,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88d…8844backed No | 76c | 66,000$49,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…06f4backed Yes | 25c | 66,000$16,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…913abacked No | 76c | 66,000$50,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,906 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…2396backed Yes | 24c | 66,000$15,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,906 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…a97fbacked No | 75c | 66,000$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…0297backed Yes | 24c | 65,500$15,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…634ebacked No | 76c | 65,500$49,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,589 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbd…beb0backed Yes | 24c | 65,500$15,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,589 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…86c7backed No | 76c | 65,500$49,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,720 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…901dbacked No | 77c | 65,000$49,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…fca7backed Yes | 24c | 65,000$15,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,469.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f7…fb08backed Yes | 23c | 65,000$14,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…2debbacked Yes | 23c | 65,000$15,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe05…607bbacked No | 77c | 65,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…a0b9backed Yes | 23c | 65,000$14,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d2…9919backed No | 77c | 65,000$50,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…6cb4backed No | 76c | 64,961$49,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,460.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…6346backed Yes | 23c | 64,500$14,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,512.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…cbc7backed No | 78c | 64,500$50,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,383.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3742…7bd1backed No | 79c | 63,000$49,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,419 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a2…5444backed Yes | 21c | 63,000$13,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,419 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…92bfbacked Yes | 17c | 60,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…2406backed Yes | 17c | 60,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2632…3e8dbacked Yes | 16c | 59,000$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…b42bbacked Yes | 15c | 58,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd5…6962backed No | 70c | 53,966$37,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,351.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6eb…1d57backed Yes | 30c | 53,966$16,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,351.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 35c | 26,425$9,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,183.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811f…1743backed No | 77c | 25,900$20,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,827.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes | 23c | 25,890$5,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,825.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Yes | 36c | 23,023$8,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,277.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 20c | 21,738$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.92 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…48f0backed No | 76c | 15,282$11,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,634.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 65c | 14,793$9,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 34c | 14,591$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.25 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x390d…350bbacked Yes | 5c | 13,614$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.48 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Yes | 29c | 13,121$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.43 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 34c | 12,996$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.54 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 20c | 12,489$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.82 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 28c | 10,209$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.44 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 33c | 10,148$3,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,319.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 33c | 9,842$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.07 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 28c | 9,000$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 34c | 8,985$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.05 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 30c | 8,005$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.6 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…41c9backed Yes | 18c | 5,688$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 33c | 5,456$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.16 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 18c | 5,348$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.33 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 23c | 5,283$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.27 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 23c | 5,072$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.85 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 69c | 5,000$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 67c | 4,851$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 11c | 4,659$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.86 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 15c | 4,470$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.74 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,461$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.86 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…d7a9backed Yes | 31c | 4,135$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 19c | 4,103$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9e…6472backed Yes | 19c | 4,093$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 28c | 3,890$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.14 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…95f7backed Yes | 26c | 3,820$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 18c | 3,710$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.09 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 34c | 3,610$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.