TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,272,657
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,384,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,272,657 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d7e…bf0bbacked Yes1c1,160,500$6,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,96310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb3…df7fbacked Yes1c1,134,125$6,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,804.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…b462backed Yes1c1,028,938$6,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,173.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a44…46b4backed Yes1c1,002,554$6,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,015.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c126,171$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.341978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Yes1c75,108$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.933935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c71,967$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.543525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c54,781$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.231550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…045fbacked Yes1c47,491$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310348.8%3 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67d…da1ebacked Yes1c34,321$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c21,437$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.92130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c14,507$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.01563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes0c12,790$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5825836.8%95 W · 163 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes1c9,268$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5513548.1%65 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes0c8,823$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.47326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+124.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c8,711$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4911337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes0c8,569$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2712229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes1c7,973$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.66994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes0c6,153$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4623048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes1c5,815$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.435628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+62.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8eb…cce3backed Yes1c5,200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes0c4,861$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.018783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes1c4,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.29338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes1c4,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5817…67afbacked Yes1c3,921$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf000…5de7backed Yes1c3,654$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes1c3,522$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f5…e229backed Yes1c3,254$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x485d…1623backed Yes0c3,150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e89…c049backed Yes1c3,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce4…1c61backed Yes0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d49…17d2backed Yes1c2,967$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd3…ce91backed Yes1c2,688$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de2…1a26backed Yes1c2,688$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc786…9635backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec7…c84cbacked Yes1c2,465$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2c…b2cabacked Yes1c2,464$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x131d…2c57backed Yes1c2,464$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f7…6f66backed Yes1c2,464$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e7…4ac8backed Yes1c2,464$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d85…8393backed Yes1c2,421$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.37432.3%1 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-80%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27c…caeebacked Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c1…37cfbacked Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a0…b272backed Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ae2…af97backed Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f5…2a32backed Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bd…349cbacked Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2374…9958backed Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf516…25dfbacked Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0856…4e23backed Yes1c2,240$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes1c2,197$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e4…3848backed Yes1c2,149$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb7…923dbacked Yes1c2,020$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e49…e10abacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ec…6617backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8302…76d3backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…777ebacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd79d…5007backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497d…dd78backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66e…179fbacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab09…7fd9backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e02…c387backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec7…b95ebacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ca…2c61backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c3…513cbacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7463…6812backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x137d…90dbbacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x921f…0645backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0c…529abacked Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9659…4a22backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a96…e839backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078b…5385backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4b…4241backed Yes1c2,016$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7c…b5f3backed Yes1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d0…f6e7backed Yes1c2,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe035…b6cebacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde20…f885backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…0550backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ec…68e6backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce7…1292backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a24…2277backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ce…12dabacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…bfe8backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a2…e3b3backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0343…fe31backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd86…a630backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…6febbacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffc…27f9backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5230…b949backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf837…0794backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07cd…206fbacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74b…92fcbacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d8…fffbbacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2df…ea47backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…917fbacked Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…51f7backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c0…4c75backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2003…4ef4backed Yes1c1,792$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.