TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,286,705
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,099,895

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,286,705 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,054 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d2f…fe80backed Yes0c1,596,022$6,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,384.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb501…1d66backed Yes0c1,568,021$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,272.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe5…7cb2backed Yes0c1,204,406$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,817.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1178…b285backed Yes0c1,176,396$4,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,705.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3a…4afcbacked Yes0c1,064,722$4,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,258.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe433…e177backed Yes0c1,036,703$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,146.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3807…7c2ebacked Yes0c1,009,442$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0711…25e3backed Yes0c1,009,079$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,036.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2599…896fbacked Yes0c1,007,928$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,031.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…5d11backed Yes0c985,670$3,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,942.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0141…a2b1backed Yes0c981,049$3,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,924.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8572…95aabacked Yes0c979,930$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2c…6704backed Yes0c867,659$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b95…be3bbacked Yes0c867,659$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,470.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…117ebacked Yes0c755,508$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…3bf5backed Yes0c755,508$3,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1130…8699backed Yes0c610,022$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,440.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6a…4caabacked Yes0c580,973$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c404,346$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.82563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd981…4551backed Yes0c290,684$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf252…9e45backed Yes0c261,614$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd423…10e9backed Yes1c151,734$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.67250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc09d…a173backed Yes1c148,386$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.93250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccbf…60cfbacked Yes1c147,032$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.16250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4e…8d3abacked Yes1c144,044$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a05…a497backed Yes1c141,830$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd314…484bbacked Yes1c140,020$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc633…0406backed Yes1c137,490$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.45250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99cb…4c97backed Yes1c134,852$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c133,812$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.621978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe528…8e09backed Yes1c133,700$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x247f…f7c7backed Yes1c131,956$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73bf…a663backed Yes1c130,314$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.57333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8478…87c7backed Yes1c126,592$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.96333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2949…e18cbacked Yes1c123,166$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f68…c392backed Yes1c123,164$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a97…7cc5backed Yes1c121,854$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4199…78fcbacked Yes1c120,208$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.0420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb01a…538fbacked Yes1c119,712$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52c6…c018backed Yes1c119,708$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f94…b410backed Yes1c119,134$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x366e…9737backed Yes1c118,966$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c118,862$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.72427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe311…4394backed Yes1c118,312$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5935…f6c8backed Yes1c118,016$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd24…f079backed Yes0c117,568$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7d4…6811backed Yes1c117,270$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.35250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d4…273bbacked Yes1c117,090$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.45250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5332…cb2dbacked Yes1c117,016$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84e3…925dbacked Yes1c116,700$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88c…8514backed Yes1c115,524$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.62250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b82…4e15backed Yes1c115,434$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.17333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068f…89acbacked Yes1c115,172$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b1…1630backed Yes1c115,012$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.06250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb41e…7d92backed Yes1c115,008$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x506e…87cdbacked Yes1c114,738$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.69333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd732…56febacked Yes1c110,638$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…e299backed Yes1c110,416$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.08250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x927e…5a26backed Yes1c110,036$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.18250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd726…12f1backed Yes1c109,880$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fb2…7f65backed Yes1c109,362$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.81333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3611…bfd8backed Yes1c109,312$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.56333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55a1…7846backed Yes1c109,160$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…5795backed Yes1c107,426$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.13250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3afc…6770backed Yes1c106,942$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.71250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38ff…90c3backed Yes1c106,464$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab0c…4e25backed Yes1c105,950$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.75250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba20…b7eabacked Yes1c105,920$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.6250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3f3…f5e8backed Yes1c105,030$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.15250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc3…1fbabacked Yes1c105,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.05250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b13…b1edbacked Yes1c104,910$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.55250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e19…46bfbacked Yes1c104,664$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8c…d272backed Yes1c103,690$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x907c…498fbacked Yes1c103,264$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick2cpaid+1,860.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…46fcbacked Yes1c103,136$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.68250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a4…15bfbacked Yes1c102,816$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.08333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ae…3192backed Yes1c102,492$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be2…87aabacked Yes1c102,256$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cda…ad6fbacked Yes1c101,296$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…e8e1backed Yes1c101,092$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f2…fcd6backed Yes1c101,012$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8676…2343backed Yes1c100,350$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc04…5a62backed Yes1c100,156$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.78250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd936…5c56backed Yes1c100,038$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.19333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2306…53e3backed Yes1c99,820$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba88…de44backed Yes1c99,684$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db7…fc5abacked Yes1c99,040$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe79f…2942backed Yes1c98,900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fb…08e7backed Yes1c98,690$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.45250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d19…4c4bbacked Yes1c98,636$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d6…75debacked Yes1c98,278$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1971…da68backed Yes0c98,197$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.82333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…cde3backed Yes0c98,102$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6907…ac18backed Yes1c97,900$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.5250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2eb…ddc3backed Yes1c97,820$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.1250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a3…0b03backed Yes1c97,686$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.43333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x462f…97b8backed Yes1c97,426$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.13250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d6…8f34backed Yes1c97,212$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e6…463abacked Yes1c97,170$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x977d…6ca1backed Yes1c95,950$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.75250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.