TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Chicago Bulls win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,684,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,158,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,684,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78ef…2b00backed Yes0c2,187,888$8,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,751.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…dea5backed Yes0c2,159,100$8,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,636.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefbb…65e8backed Yes0c337,307$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.23563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-94.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf297…fce5backed Yes0c230,352$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422e…7864backed Yes0c230,352$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bac…02b1backed Yes0c165,676$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.03427.1%3 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c122,489$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.98258%2 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-85.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c94,999$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes0c77,412$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.823525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c51,618$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.0511337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Yes0c47,160$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.64577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c38,738$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.11550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c30,415$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.838827.3%24 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c29,571$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.712130.5%1 W · 212 L+0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes0c25,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1058521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes0c22,432$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.93994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f2…ae73backed Yes1c21,527$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4310…396bbacked Yes1c21,527$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c20,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70462.2%1 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec5…bba3backed Yes1c15,333$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f8…5c2ebacked Yes1c13,316$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1b…c036backed Yes0c13,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3730%0 W · 73 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b31…79a0backed Yes1c12,326$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9230…c5f7backed Yes1c12,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc3…2f17backed Yes1c11,665$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3290%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…e69dbacked Yes0c10,493$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8f…7c80backed Yes1c10,400$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…bd86backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e20…379fbacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1844…3cedbacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44e9…9aefbacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…b50ebacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb24…991bbacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb20e…bef4backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed1…49babacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8651…8922backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf15a…3504backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d7…e5a3backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a7c…3886backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6c…ae7ebacked Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2e…6f06backed Yes1c10,083$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd081…adc4backed Yes1c10,082$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe63d…5ea6backed Yes1c10,082$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4950%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…6ba3backed Yes1c10,082$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c0…0814backed Yes1c10,082$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05f4…ba82backed Yes1c10,081$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30f…1a2dbacked Yes1c10,076$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9f…81a0backed Yes1c10,073$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b4b…c1dcbacked Yes1c10,071$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x729d…e24fbacked Yes1c10,071$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd13b…3e09backed Yes1c10,036$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a2…add8backed Yes1c10,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5c…a520backed Yes1c9,982$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3364…7e0bbacked Yes1c9,982$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63d…7085backed Yes1c9,982$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b0…d29fbacked Yes1c9,941$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77de…fc30backed Yes1c9,941$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…b96fbacked Yes1c9,941$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c3…b23dbacked Yes1c9,941$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a23…d9d7backed Yes1c9,922$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc1…ca19backed Yes1c9,565$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+310.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0e…cd43backed Yes0c9,353$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169a…0b7ebacked Yes1c9,245$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54db…b891backed Yes0c9,133$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f37…41c2backed Yes0c9,091$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c6…a1cebacked Yes0c9,072$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e96…aa73backed Yes0c9,070$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc5…201dbacked Yes1c9,008$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc679…0b49backed Yes1c9,008$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed5…d8c6backed Yes1c8,995$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes1c8,888$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.335020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02e…7fb4backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9499…ff4ebacked Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9196…d330backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eea…530bbacked Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e55…e4aebacked Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa078…a926backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a0…b232backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…c6a7backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b3…0623backed Yes1c8,837$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051f…0690backed Yes0c8,688$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8e…6c1dbacked Yes0c8,564$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803a…fdd7backed Yes1c8,437$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…b747backed Yes0c8,294$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1850%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…863ebacked Yes1c7,780$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ed…767abacked Yes1c7,679$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…1f26backed Yes1c7,566$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1857…c0cebacked Yes0c7,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30260%0 W · 26 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1f…a672backed Yes0c6,965$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e3…e78ebacked Yes1c6,893$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f29…9287backed Yes0c6,803$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…17c1backed Yes1c6,683$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-80%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa678…f444backed Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e2c…d422backed Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfedd…1ec5backed Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa687…febfbacked Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbf…2f2bbacked Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3436…d278backed Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…ca12backed Yes0c6,520$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.