TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,253,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,062,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,253,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2c8…a7a5backed Yes1c1,154,400$5,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,77210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x401a…e817backed Yes1c1,131,312$5,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,656.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes2c770,213$17,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,535.73994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes2c720,241$13,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,251.918521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes2c559,139$13,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,129.035313.2%7 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-68.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495f…6f7bbacked Yes1c145,126$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff93…4897backed Yes1c144,621$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d6…49d3backed Yes1c142,956$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae1b…8d8bbacked Yes1c140,644$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes1c140,015$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.213525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+115.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7885…2c57backed Yes1c136,526$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc528…dc5cbacked Yes1c136,326$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537c…4b65backed Yes1c134,124$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66e…05c7backed Yes1c130,819$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.37250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ef…88aabacked Yes1c128,107$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b2…81a1backed Yes1c127,816$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…1392backed Yes1c127,134$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1439…5051backed Yes2c126,564$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.19326.3%2 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+107.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Yes1c126,108$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.432924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…9d3fbacked Yes1c124,301$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebc…1a6bbacked Yes1c122,584$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.26250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c116,672$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.911978.6%17 W · 180 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-73.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b1…ab84backed Yes1c116,624$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e75…dafbbacked Yes1c115,030$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.27250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1287…3210backed Yes1c112,206$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…8f39backed Yes1c111,306$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.75250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x976f…9419backed Yes1c110,610$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…e849backed Yes1c110,456$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb162…3cbabacked Yes1c108,624$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…948fbacked Yes1c108,186$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…ca0abacked Yes1c107,844$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7371…7251backed Yes1c107,681$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2f0…ad1fbacked Yes1c106,173$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc7…5ad3backed Yes1c105,840$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.56250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x572e…2ba7backed Yes1c105,723$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae54…8ec8backed Yes1c105,269$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.42250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b4…757ebacked Yes1c105,051$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.46250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd16c…d8c4backed Yes1c104,781$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.03250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…33c5backed Yes1c104,442$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.98250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc9…e3febacked Yes1c103,900$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc881…663bbacked Yes1c103,510$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.59250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7be…87fdbacked Yes1c101,839$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.55250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d9…0bb9backed Yes1c101,266$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd9a…2b2bbacked Yes1c100,408$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.67250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeba3…603dbacked Yes1c100,144$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec50…ce1cbacked Yes1c100,143$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.29250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4806…332ebacked Yes1c100,023$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.21250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ed…0f26backed Yes1c99,989$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b7…ed80backed Yes1c99,872$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.85333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe417…8089backed Yes1c99,017$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93e4…cd4bbacked Yes1c98,933$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605a…a02bbacked Yes1c98,509$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.58250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c9d…42debacked Yes1c97,952$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc2…fc3abacked Yes1c97,056$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5885…e547backed Yes1c96,758$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.82250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4394…8b0ebacked Yes1c96,654$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.89250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5199…a8ccbacked Yes1c96,374$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.37250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f95…068fbacked Yes1c96,372$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.35250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ceb…09b2backed Yes1c96,142$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a0…ee6bbacked Yes1c95,329$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.96250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8920…05dabacked Yes1c95,016$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf0…c968backed Yes1c94,999$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.99250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b8a…2943backed Yes1c94,924$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.32250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89fc…e13fbacked Yes1c94,620$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…f4d5backed Yes1c94,210$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.89250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa17f…8d8bbacked Yes1c94,100$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d04…eaf1backed Yes1c94,017$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.15250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68fd…a2d3backed Yes1c93,719$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d0…b014backed Yes1c93,526$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.73250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fc6…51a6backed Yes1c92,653$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.88250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2e…7484backed Yes1c92,520$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fda…0bd8backed Yes1c92,239$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.15250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd8…a4e2backed Yes1c91,971$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.74250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecc5…1858backed Yes1c91,584$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.26250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6903…cc43backed Yes1c91,324$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.92250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x467e…4a5cbacked Yes1c91,228$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb34c…9f25backed Yes1c89,798$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea1…4bb8backed Yes1c89,117$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d7…cec1backed Yes1c88,422$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.8250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff8…8f42backed Yes1c87,850$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.65250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…8a81backed Yes1c87,207$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.86250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf5…f03cbacked Yes1c87,138$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.24250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e1…525fbacked Yes1c86,834$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f64…62fbbacked Yes1c86,377$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117a…aeeebacked Yes1c86,328$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.95250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe04…8db4backed Yes1c86,250$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.25250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19a…8d70backed Yes1c85,947$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.52250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fe…b500backed Yes1c85,593$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.34250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab0b…42f6backed Yes1c84,811$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0903…9453backed Yes1c84,383$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b9…a20bbacked Yes1c84,200$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.8250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d3…7168backed Yes1c84,140$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.26250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11b5…b222backed Yes1c83,887$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.98333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfef7…a40bbacked Yes1c83,217$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x230a…d0dabacked Yes1c82,976$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.78250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe63c…90c7backed Yes1c82,889$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411e…899fbacked Yes1c82,650$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.85250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8809…103bbacked Yes1c82,117$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick1cpaid+1,751.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85bf…8aefbacked Yes1c81,451$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.06250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick1cpaid+2,677.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0358backed Yes1c81,353$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.1820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.