TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,481,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,596,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,481,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8679…4659backed Yes21c72,162$15,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,351.084551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes31c63,833$19,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,790.7528341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Yes7c55,370$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.913033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+109.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2561…f291backed Yes7c53,500$3,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,74510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a50…96adbacked Yes7c53,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70e…816cbacked Yes6c53,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e6…d803backed Yes7c53,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x112a…033ebacked Yes7c53,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e9…7149backed Yes6c53,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b09…0a8cbacked Yes6c53,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9654…aafbbacked Yes6c53,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9813…df75backed Yes7c53,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes29c50,097$14,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,627.29219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes7c32,258$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.5512229.5%36 W · 86 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes11c30,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1801947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes42c26,138$11,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,108.2247848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No57c18,672$10,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,935.613560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Yes59c17,001$10,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,008.844252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c14,994$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.982,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes10c13,998$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,458.631,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5327…9257backed Yes59c12,550$7,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,453.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes19c10,730$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.516339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked No58c10,127$5,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,264.054052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes42c10,000$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2105349.1%26 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb7b…1476backed Yes42c9,087$3,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,850.8219145.5%87 W · 104 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Yes39c8,955$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.134143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes17c8,786$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.1422750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c21backed Yes21c8,270$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid+34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes19c6,836$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.763228.1%9 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fb…ab4dbacked Yes24c6,305$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+252.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4601822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes10c5,841$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.54395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid-79.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked No60c5,690$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.932462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa85c…82b3backed Yes35c5,593$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes19c5,236$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006026.7%16 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Yes5c5,148$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.3511144.1%49 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Yes4c4,822$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.5216436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes41c4,298$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.221020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc979…4a98backed Yes11c4,274$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.17837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Yes20c4,069$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.931020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x575a…bba6backed Yes25c4,024$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012529.6%37 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes27c3,973$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.73020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes33c3,742$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.541,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes39c3,318$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.045032%16 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed No73c3,172$2,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.967929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Yes39c3,057$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.9618632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes21c3,038$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62525939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes8c2,986$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.865628.6%16 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+104.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5080…610bbacked Yes45c2,888$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3131435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+75.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Yes12c2,700$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.441936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+105%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes25c2,642$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb0b…194abacked Yes60c2,640$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked No52c2,542$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.181216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb958…c9b2backed Yes43c2,542$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed No57c2,395$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.131442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a6…56f4backed Yes44c2,262$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes16c2,217$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.79984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes47c2,213$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.7870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Yes18c2,200$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.972512%3 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes11c2,162$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.318783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x719b…c995backed Yes48c2,090$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.887936.7%29 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No40c2,043$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.9373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes70c1,930$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.391,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes26c1,911$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.512,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes31c1,881$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.7344740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Yes59c1,833$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.130351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes41c1,814$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.694942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes21c1,500$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30910042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Yes58c1,457$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.7614052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes6c1,450$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8761740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1b…95efbacked Yes34c1,407$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes12c1,386$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.349845.9%45 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes32c1,378$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.926631.8%21 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes59c1,336$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.1317044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes60c1,300$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.71957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7921…4a6bbacked Yes59c1,278$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes8c1,263$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.39795.1%4 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c1,200$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.135942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49e…3ce0backed Yes43c1,168$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.871020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes17c1,133$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.513133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea4…703bbacked Yes7c1,074$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+444%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc415…5c48backed Yes15c1,062$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Yes14c1,056$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.545646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe51…3982backed Yes25c1,050$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604517.8%8 W · 37 L-8.0wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes18c1,011$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9815952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes44c1,000$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4422433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…c52bbacked Yes11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…5ed4backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1908219.5%16 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…80eabacked Yes11c999.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.33994%4 W · 95 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f30…acaebacked Yes20c982.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes31c955$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.314434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes45c930.32$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.811723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No76c910$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.281747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Yes59c887.96$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7817846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73f…0db0backed Yes23c876.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No70c868.57$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.872,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bd…0bd5backed Yes6c865.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.96185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid+109.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes6c835.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.97812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes19c821.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.420443.6%89 W · 115 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.