TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f3b…1d77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
745
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT11541.7%48 W · 67 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,742Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+257.5%+$9,637.59
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,276.25
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$4,490.18
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$708.35
Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$714.17
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+90.8%+$25,713.44
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$524.42
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,150
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,978Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$3,978.01
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$430
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.8%+$228.99
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$93.23
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$433.36
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13,052Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$7,596.57
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$158.79
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+46.1%+$115.25
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.8%+$3,578.16
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.57
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,537.97
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$432.26
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$97.96
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.84
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,665Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$711.52
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.88
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$6,023Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+45.1%+$2,715.79
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+200.6%+$501.11
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$432.66
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.53
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$394.71
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$69.99
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,996.49
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$278.22
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23,158.97
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$58.04
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$184.88
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,109.13
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,581Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,580.64
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$662.13
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,947.36
Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,960.31
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$194.18
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$17.15
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT6434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Margot Robbie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$244.43
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.66
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$18.37
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Will Stellan Skarsgard (Sentimental Value) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.41
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,097.07
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,634.13
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$3,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,063.28
Will "Emilia Pérez" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$90.85
Will "A Complete Unknown" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$177.81
Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+270.1%+$2,487.94
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$3,745.34
Will Cynthia Erivo win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$29.49
Will Brady Corbet win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "The Brutalist"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+399.2%+$1,129.37
Will Sean Baker win Best Director at the 2025 Oscars for "Anora"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+172%+$1,298.4
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Original Score at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$112.05
Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+68.3%+$334.13
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.51
Will "Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes" win Best Visual Effects at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61.46
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Sound at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+55%+$69.57
Will "I Am Ready, Warden" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+69.4%+$81.88
Will "Incident" win Best Documentary Short Film at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$77.39
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will "Wicked" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.32
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT6023.3%14 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+80.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.23
Will the US lose jobs in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$32
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.02
Will the US add at least 100k jobs in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$752
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.53
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.33
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$95.78
Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$171.78
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+31.7%+$823.43
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤4.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,346.73
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$226.7
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$388.83
Will the US lose jobs in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$83.96
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+559.6%+$1,039.51
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,064%+$1,234.02
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$231.99
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$755.32
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+6,789.5%+$4,061.97
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,782Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+183.1%+$3,262.66
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$538.09
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$212.42
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$242.15
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$67.96
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT5633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$259.49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,877Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+51.6%+$1,483.44
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$219.39
Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$38.48
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$16.38
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$78.92
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+73.6%+$75.87
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25.44
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$342.45
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$44.74
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$174.83
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.36
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$852.31
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.75
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.37
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+162.5%+$1,017.09
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,514.88
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.19
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+608.6%+$2,416.88
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,096.06
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+36%+$12.43
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.68
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,684.5
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST5530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$530
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$810.83
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$7,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,401.92
Will the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$5,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,841.99
Will the New England Patriots win the Super Bowl?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,024.91
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20,419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9,609.24
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,320.05
Big Game - Winning Conference backed AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$6,074.64
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,506Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$4,473.58
Seahawks Team Total: O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$129.85
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+58%+$1,910.35
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$47.36
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.97
Seahawks vs. Jaguarsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,476Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,285.76
Colts vs. Titansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
Jaguars vs. Dolphins backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Bills vs. Bears backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$800
Chiefs vs. Seahawks backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$413.06
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$769.11
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$5,523.23
Will JD Vance attend Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+53.4%+$10.09
Will Baby Keem perform during Super Bowl LIX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$195.75
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,736Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,735.74
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,731.43
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST5433.3%18 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 25% and 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,632Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+76.1%+$1,241.78
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+63.6%+$473.47
Democratic sweep?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$574.96
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,668.36
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$509.24
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$3,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$3,731.1
Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.47
Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$81.81
Will 52 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$755.91
Will 53 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$769.44
Will 51 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+947.8%+$1,228.4
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,230.33
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$981Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$980.81
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+190.8%+$916.1
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$191.65
Will 53 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$59.9
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+47.1%+$26.24
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.06
Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.71
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$153.57
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+56.8%+$276.44
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15,572Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15,571.92
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+34.7%+$78.34
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+59.3%+$436.13
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4930.6%15 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$459.49
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035.98
Will Manchild (Sabrina Carpenter) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.46
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.82
Will Drake release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,190Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,190.23
Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,658.5
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$27.61
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$118.5
Will Music (Playboi Carti) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$410
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) be nominated for Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+94.4%+$194.29
Will Ravyn Lenae be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$430
Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Zach Top be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$209.9
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.35
Will The Marías be nominated for Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$202.14
Will Lotus (Little Simz) be nominated for Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$253.62
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.11
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will Malta win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+64.8%+$494.65
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.7
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$43.13
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12,000
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,299.99
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,811Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$2,209
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+139.5%+$881.81
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$2,000
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+54%+$332.82
UFC 322: Vieira vs. Nickal (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,507Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+42.9%+$1,503
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$74.37
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,516.37
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. Jonesbacked Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$139.81
UFC Fight Night: Sumudaerji vs. Borjasbacked Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$51.68
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+141.6%+$1,916.6
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$8,510
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+305.3%+$355.49
UFC Fight Night: Brener vs. Ribovicsbacked Brener · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.8
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs. Vallejosbacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.72
UFC 318: Gautier vs. Valentinbacked Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.44
UFC 318: Fugitt vs. Dulatovbacked Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.16
UFC 318: Crute vs. Prachniobacked Prachnio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$365.76
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Thompson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.08
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.96
UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. Lanebacked Lane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.36
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosbacked Tokkos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+159.1%+$256.7
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$350
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,358
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+119.1%+$5,283.11
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,658Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37.7%+$2,135.54
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$134.42
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+71.9%+$6,346.37
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$312.53
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.61
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$866.42
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.86
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.87
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.43
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$105.25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,621.9
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$248.46
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,322.05
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$6,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,963.29
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,009.63
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,916.68
Fed rate cut by December meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$541.35
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.82
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$545.98
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$206.8
Cardinals vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$440
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.44
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$89.61
Astros vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$220.44
Twins vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$255.5
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.76
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$884.66
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.16
Marlins vs. Red Soxbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Orioles vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,340
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+57%+$268.74
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$53.72
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$374.22
Rays vs. Metsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$23.52
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$529.99
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.71
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$665.64
Nationals vs. Oriolesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$115.29
Rays vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+153.2%+$68.98
Angels vs. Padresbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$123.95
Marlins vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,123.91
Orioles vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+129.3%+$281.95
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2528%7 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-59%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$170.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$850.6
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,308.81
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$256.03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.41
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,449Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.2%+$4,945.96
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$8,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,989.88
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26,682Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+65.4%+$17,443.88
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$702.6
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+62.6%+$4,842.87
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+52%+$8,696.94
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$937Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$937.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.5%+$6,852.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.4%+$4,261.5
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.2%+$3,947.18
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,835Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,834.75
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,809.63
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$662Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$662.28
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.91
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2025, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.64
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.28
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.26
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+477.9%+$2,055.8
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$414.49
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$367.28
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.22
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+908.5%+$573.84
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.18
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.6
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.98
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.15
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.75
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+111.5%+$109.21
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$74.99
Will Elon tweet 850-899 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$63.67
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$411.39
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$525.42
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$3,400
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18,580.33
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$750
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$21.69
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$694Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$216.28
Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.45
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$829.75
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,802.54
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+163.2%+$372
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$1,011.63
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+56.3%+$1,318.93
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$32.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$547.84
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+72.1%+$162.69
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+75.4%+$86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+95.5%+$7,919.65
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$6,344.78
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,619Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,619.37
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,031.78
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,977Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11,101.1
Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Tennessee make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$109.2
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.01
Will Maryland make the 2025 Final Four?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.15
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+49.1%+$704.16
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,557Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$389.72
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$685.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$33.12
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,475.61
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,314.18
Champions League Quarterfinals: Barcelona vs. Dortmundbacked Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.07
Champions League Quarterfinals: PSG vs. Aston Villabacked Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.44
Will Real Madrid or Atlético de Madrid advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,914Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+39%+$1,135.24
Will Club Brugge or Aston Villa advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Club Brugge · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.32
Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+97.9%+$1,231.81
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+301.1%+$1,079.45
Will Feyenoord or Inter Milan advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Feyenoord · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.2
Will Benfica or FC Barcelona advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-64.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,282.32
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,280.01
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$2,650
Devils vs. Ducksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,590
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.98
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+80.9%+$29.07
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$2,080
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.46
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$844.75
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$6,035.2
Will Canada win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$3,901.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-69.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+69.4%+$1,047.68
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$489.99
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,646.26
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,103.41
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-56%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+59%+$1,409.43
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$444.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$1,103.79
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Zverevbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.3%+$615.76
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,627.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.46
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
MLS: Will Inter Miami beat D.C. United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$679.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.