Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5222c1d98bb12a30e827e007b8cc1a11fe4200b1e823663fbfcbfb255e17eba7

Rebuilt 25 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $392,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $208,203

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	33,135$1,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.73	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	6c	10,940$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.74	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5396…ded6backed Yes	0c	10,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	72	9.7%7 W · 65 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	8c	9,516$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.23	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	5c	8,670$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.71	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes	13c	6,650$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$836.8	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	1c	5,790$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.17	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	9c	5,603$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.78	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	7c	5,300$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.22	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77c…f762backed Yes	3c	4,621$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.66	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	4c	3,739$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.89	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	8c	3,497$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.76	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	11c	2,756$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.92	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes	8c	2,320$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.59	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Yes	4c	2,233$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f79…7148backed Yes	1c	2,131$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	9c	2,122$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x809f…4598backed Yes	6c	2,094$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.44	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…f250backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	10%1 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-81.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes	10c	1,977$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	11c	1,900$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	3c	1,889$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	7c	1,757$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.96	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	1,600$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	8c	1,565$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.41	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	7c	1,550$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	7c	1,521$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	8c	1,500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	1,488$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.73	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe572…6241backed Yes	7c	1,479$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	1c	1,400$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62e0…b2b4backed Yes	2c	1,276$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	7c	1,262$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.33	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…a85bbacked Yes	5c	1,214$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.33	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099e…8e52backed Yes	6c	1,121$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.24	50	2%1 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes	7c	1,103$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.46	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4789…8ff5backed Yes	2c	1,050$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	6c	1,049$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.83	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	8c	1,017$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.96	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	10c	977.01$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.76	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	10c	946.54$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.73	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked Yes	11c	910$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes	13c	901.43$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	9c	869.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.12	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	12c	867.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	843.58$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.49	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes	10c	832.8$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.28	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	6c	799.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	6c	799.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	6c	792.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc46e…c052backed Yes	7c	762.92$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f1…4cb9backed Yes	5c	701.73$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	4c	699.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes	5c	676.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.89	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x106d…2167backed Yes	7c	672.29$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	7c	655$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.75	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fba…22f2backed Yes	8c	643.87$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Yes	12c	643.69$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	143	14.7%21 W · 122 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353f…3b8dbacked Yes	5c	580$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	8c	560.54$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd712…228dbacked Yes	11c	557.3$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.12	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes	3c	553.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	8c	549.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x992f…6a06backed Yes	5c	451$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	5c	444$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.31	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeead…0199backed Yes	8c	430$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.4	30	13.3%4 W · 26 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fa…de00backed Yes	10c	426.29$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	7c	400$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15f6…e98fbacked Yes	10c	399.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0d…0048backed Yes	6c	399.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes	10c	333$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	181	8.3%15 W · 166 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	8c	323.5$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.88	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c8…0b36backed Yes	6c	299.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	77	15.6%12 W · 65 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes	6c	276.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	118	10.2%12 W · 106 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-47%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83b…ebf8backed Yes	7c	250$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	+45%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9e…5432backed Yes	13c	250$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	6c	249.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…9236backed Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	11c	227.27$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	6c	217.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079b…ec97backed Yes	14c	214.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes	5c	204.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ae…697dbacked Yes	6c	203.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb220…2a5dbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	44	11.4%5 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b10…4abcbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	8c	199.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6857…30b7backed Yes	11c	184.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x108f…73e3backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa4…35d4backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba0…da61backed Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2d…27e6backed Yes	7c	171.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x248e…7b12backed Yes	13c	144.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	207	17.4%36 W · 171 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd1…a18fbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee85…7777backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	19%4 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?this page
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-774 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 775-799 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event