Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec94686ac38e6ab576e20b946eeb475580bc82b37e36ad17503666eae587eb3

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $560,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $285,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $560,392 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	16c	19,153$3,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,080.85	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	24c	18,266$4,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,427.76	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	16c	17,942$2,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,795.79	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	22c	17,697$3,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,918.07	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	30c	12,279$3,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,742.2	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	19c	11,091$2,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,068.1	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	19c	9,514$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.89	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	24c	7,792$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e22…3993backed Yes	9c	7,469$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.88	69	31.9%22 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+81%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	19c	6,523$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,266.02	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc786…d82ebacked Yes	9c	6,304$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.09	56	10.7%6 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	17c	6,168$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.07	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes	0c	6,090$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	149	14.1%21 W · 128 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	22c	6,057$1,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,310	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98f5…7226backed Yes	36c	6,048$2,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,186.22	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910c…d7a7backed Yes	16c	5,878$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$959.73	75	16%12 W · 63 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes	11c	4,701$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.31	102	20.6%21 W · 81 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	14c	4,675$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.22	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd712…228dbacked Yes	13c	4,397$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590.68	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099e…8e52backed Yes	10c	4,197$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.75	50	2%1 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	17c	4,041$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.83	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	19c	3,969$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.32	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	22c	3,545$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.44	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa0…488bbacked Yes	3c	3,526$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	13c	3,370$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.3	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	7c	3,333$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.6	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d3f…1e6cbacked Yes	21c	3,323$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.67	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc933…8527backed Yes	30c	3,275$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.34	159	21.4%34 W · 125 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	17c	3,230$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.03	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes	14c	3,218$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.6	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dce…8f73backed Yes	17c	3,197$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.93	126	23%29 W · 97 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…2e5fbacked Yes	16c	2,930$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.62	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b84…74c6backed Yes	16c	2,839$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.12	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	15c	2,577$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.13	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	20c	2,556$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.26	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	5c	2,217$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.02	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…72a1backed Yes	1c	2,200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked Yes	9c	1,987$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes	15c	1,831$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.64	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x97f7…c4d2backed Yes	27c	1,818$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.56	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	20c	1,806$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.71	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef2…8a53backed Yes	38c	1,701$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$642.59	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f29…33ccbacked Yes	27c	1,650$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…a548backed Yes	28c	1,579$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.44	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	10c	1,501$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.48	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe746…3f6ebacked Yes	10c	1,467$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.61	33	12.1%4 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4498…06a8backed Yes	32c	1,467$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+89.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f6…e965backed Yes	12c	1,445$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00a…65c9backed Yes	24c	1,444$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x870a…bd43backed Yes	2c	1,430$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.03	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	17c	1,424$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.81	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	15c	1,400$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…ae5cbacked Yes	27c	1,393$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.38	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	21c	1,333$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.29	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	22c	1,313$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.22	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	36c	1,271$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.93	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	9c	1,200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Yes	10c	1,200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	9c	1,200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…24efbacked Yes	8c	1,168$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.96	156	19.2%30 W · 126 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	14c	1,099$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…3ec5backed Yes	14c	1,097$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	32	25%8 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes	22c	1,096$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.92	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Yes	27c	1,069$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.22	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ba…2526backed No	71c	1,059$749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.72	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-6.7wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x06c7…ecefbacked Yes	20c	1,053$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	23c	1,050$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	16c	1,047$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.26	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes	5c	1,022$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.09	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	17c	1,010$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.01	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…ab4fbacked Yes	1c	1,003$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce6…9f5dbacked Yes	8c	999.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	34	2.9%1 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	12cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	9c	999.98$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Yes	6c	999$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.27	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68da…ee52backed Yes	10c	984.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	14c	968.55$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.86	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd361…3885backed Yes	22c	924.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	13c	915.35$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.54	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a94…78b6backed Yes	42c	845$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.9	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	15c	832$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.02	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes	13c	800$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	14c	783.08$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	20c	779.96$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.32	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc536…3cefbacked Yes	14c	728.57$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4789…8ff5backed Yes	32c	716.32$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f2…1362backed Yes	29c	679.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Yes	29c	679.83$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…e69dbacked No	63c	669$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.08	25	28%7 W · 18 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes	15c	668.95$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.76	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e5…2829backed Yes	13c	655$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+131.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Yes	8c	653.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	417	18%75 W · 342 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	9c	637$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079b…ec97backed Yes	25c	624.25$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.32	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	25c	610.13$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0de4…2d29backed Yes	18c	604.7$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.41	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	7c	600$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?this page
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-774 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 775-799 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event