Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x388b075a9a65eb8bf2535e56b07022acd53a9c34c5e4db55d0ecfd391a61def1

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 14, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $607,509
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $263,955

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $607,509 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5116…58c4backed Yes	6c	30,162$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,670.64	85	23.5%20 W · 65 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	4c	28,669$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,264.87	230	3.9%9 W · 221 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	20,605$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.49	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	0c	20,501$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.64	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes	13c	19,709$2,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,652.83	123	11.4%14 W · 109 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes	1c	16,475$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.68	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-86.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…42c1backed Yes	0c	13,840$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4be2…4664backed Yes	1c	12,828$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	11,900$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2631…4d56backed Yes	16c	11,855$1,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,925.8	104	9.6%10 W · 94 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099e…8e52backed Yes	2c	10,716$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.09	50	2%1 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c58…14f7backed Yes	13c	10,161$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	63	15.9%10 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	5c	6,892$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.62	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	10c	6,523$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.99	153	13.1%20 W · 133 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e1…d6f0backed Yes	9c	6,207$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.73	239	14.2%34 W · 205 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b9…eee5backed Yes	6c	6,154$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.99	73	11%8 W · 65 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3c…8e97backed Yes	14c	6,058$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.9	62	17.7%11 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde5d…f58bbacked Yes	12c	5,910$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.46	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…9c6ebacked Yes	12c	5,579$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.76	116	10.3%12 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	13c	5,046$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.16	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2958…0c6dbacked Yes	1c	4,703$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.65	84	13.1%11 W · 73 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5677backed Yes	11c	4,564$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.68	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db3…c516backed Yes	2c	4,479$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	12cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes	10c	4,243$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.82	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	2c	4,238$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.71	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Yes	0c	4,138$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.42	93	8.6%8 W · 85 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c0c…87d4backed Yes	0c	4,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes	12c	3,918$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.44	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x809f…4598backed Yes	6c	3,697$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.23	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5f…7df9backed Yes	9c	3,334$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	98	11.2%11 W · 87 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd42b…48c8backed Yes	2c	3,300$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.71	246	8.5%21 W · 225 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes	14c	3,138$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.18	52	25%13 W · 39 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f71…722dbacked Yes	10c	3,073$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes	9c	3,003$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.86	79	5.1%4 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…c824backed Yes	1c	3,000$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	60	10%6 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…406fbacked Yes	11c	2,985$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.23	148	18.2%27 W · 121 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ff…9708backed Yes	9c	2,930$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.58	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf55e…0c66backed Yes	12c	2,672$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.57	265	8.7%23 W · 242 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd1d…a68fbacked Yes	6c	2,290$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.24	118	20.3%24 W · 94 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f9e…6ef5backed Yes	10c	2,286$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.9	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes	9c	2,274$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.88	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0973…8986backed Yes	11c	2,112$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.17	86	15.1%13 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f7…c4d2backed Yes	8c	2,071$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.63	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c81…3b0cbacked Yes	8c	2,000$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.06	34	17.6%6 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes	2c	2,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	177	9%16 W · 161 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-70.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes	3c	2,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	486	9.7%47 W · 439 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x083b…3decbacked Yes	14c	1,925$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.8	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-91.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85f2…7db1backed Yes	13c	1,864$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.5	100	16%16 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…e452backed Yes	1c	1,844$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d18…3dc7backed Yes	1c	1,818$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74b2…e0adbacked Yes	12c	1,814$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.33	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes	1c	1,692$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe00a…65c9backed Yes	14c	1,617$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.32	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb52f…30fabacked Yes	12c	1,604$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1306…7e5fbacked Yes	8c	1,589$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.41	68	17.6%12 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes	10c	1,544$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.05	40	10%4 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd757…94aabacked Yes	13c	1,526$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.21	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-63%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	9c	1,500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b72…e6dabacked Yes	12c	1,344$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xebb7…efebbacked Yes	1c	1,334$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab0e…6a86backed Yes	8c	1,312$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.77	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7dd…6a2cbacked Yes	3c	1,300$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	131	26.7%35 W · 96 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6a…afccbacked Yes	9c	1,281$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.59	180	12.8%23 W · 157 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd25…52a6backed Yes	15c	1,275$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-77%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…9c04backed Yes	3c	1,250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.10per pick	21cpaid	+173.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fba…22f2backed Yes	12c	1,201$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1d…81dbbacked Yes	11c	1,197$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.64	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…a495backed Yes	11c	1,151$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.8	104	7.7%8 W · 96 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	16cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef2…8a53backed Yes	11c	1,118$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.97	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c35…1a76backed Yes	7c	1,091$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.02	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes	7c	1,076$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd4…3474backed Yes	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4503…7aaabacked Yes	14c	1,047$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c49…ee5dbacked Yes	11c	1,020$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…c22bbacked Yes	13c	1,017$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.14	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.4wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	162	7.4%12 W · 150 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf6d8…3024backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	82	7.3%6 W · 76 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e7…8883backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…5998backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	155	20.6%32 W · 123 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…cefbbacked Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x926f…8b8dbacked Yes	10c	992.69$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.12	90	14.4%13 W · 77 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Yes	1c	952.68$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd69a…81eabacked Yes	14c	922.29$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.67	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0753…25b2backed Yes	6c	909.23$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.33	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x992d…743bbacked Yes	12c	854.26$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	8.2%5 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870a…bd43backed Yes	1c	833.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.24	43	9.3%4 W · 39 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4864…1351backed Yes	14c	806.69$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x106d…2167backed Yes	6c	804.6$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda58…7ba8backed Yes	14c	800$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	155	11.6%18 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0643…7b30backed Yes	13c	792.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	73	17.8%13 W · 60 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b80…9827backed Yes	15c	789.87$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.63	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	16cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865c…ad2abacked Yes	10c	789.09$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.8	119	16.8%20 W · 99 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…5579backed Yes	13c	772.54$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.82	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	7c	770$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.6	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe126…3e96backed Yes	10c	763$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	5c	750$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde42…1030backed Yes	12c	714.22$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	+19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d8…1aefbacked Yes	9c	709.99$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae7…6cd4backed Yes	14c	700.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	26cpaid	+192.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?this page
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 7-14?Yes won
Will Elon tweet 525-549 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 675-699 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 700-724 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 725-749 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 750-774 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 775-799 times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times March 7-14?No won
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event