TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b60…4007

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
292
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT6870.6%48 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.95
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.56
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+44.8%+$33.57
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Chuck's Global Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25%+$10
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+58.7%+$19.38
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+47.1%+$125.16
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$83.5
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+56.2%+$18.09
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19.61
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+36.4%+$232.95
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+38.4%+$28.63
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT4663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$19.7
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Sabres vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$14.7
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+38.9%+$12.44
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Predators vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Flames vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$17.24
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+56.3%+$19.69
Oilers vs. Flyersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$32.5
Sweden vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+122.2%+$31.78
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$41.28
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$71
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Oilers vs. Bruinsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+72.4%+$43.45
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$117.56
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+316.7%+$101.08
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+545.2%+$84.5
TikTok on App Store again before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$76.62
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$12.41
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Greenland" during the next White House press briefing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$22.88
Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50 or more times during the next White House press briefing?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$18.85
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+232.2%+$69.9
Will Donald Trump issue 34-36 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$14.77
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Trump sign 0 executive orders on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST+35.1%+$16.12
Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$38.96
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,631Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,631.01
Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
US out of WHO by Trump's first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Eric Adams attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70.49
Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+244.8%+$25.19
Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.31
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+28.2%+$102.53
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Ye banned on X in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$42.4
Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+566.7%+$90.67
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk tweet 700-749 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.46
Will Elon Musk tweet 650-699 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.65
Will Elon Musk tweet 600-649 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon Musk tweet 550-599 times February 7-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Will Andrew Tate tweet 160-179 times Jan 24-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Jan 17-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$31.7
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17.43
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$48
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$15.38
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$20.21
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+2,122.2%+$1,823.16
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Dec 13-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+34.1%+$17.77
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+25.5%+$114.74
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+61.2%+$408.88
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$30.2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$11.12
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$7.49
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$3.21
Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+30.9%+$3.71
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Will Keir Starmer say "Thousand" or "Million" or "Billion" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questionsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,068.51
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$73.86
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.16
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$170.68
Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.12
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Donald Trump say Beautiful 5+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$64.68
Will Donald Trump say Ukraine 10+ times during his presser with Starmer on Feb 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$39.6
Will Trudeau resign Today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$152.14
<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+84.7%+$112.92
180-199 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2024, EST-100%-$38.15
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2025, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will get drafted first: Shedeur Sanders or Cam Ward?backed Sanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.3
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+29.5%+$28.15
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$59.7
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$61
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.81
Will the Lions win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26.35
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$27.02
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$61
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$24.4
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+52.7%+$17.38
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.91
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$42
Will Brentford win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+37.7%+$68.29
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14.23
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+254.5%+$106.09
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+35.5%+$6.02
Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will an EU nation recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+212%+$94.54
Will Türkiye recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$17.77
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Syrian government by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+257.1%+$36
Assad leaves Syria before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$94.65
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$20.32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+98.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+57.5%+$18.39
Will Liverpool beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,349Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+44.9%+$605.9
Will Girona beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,839.02
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Almeida vs. Alhassanbacked Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+37%+$27
Curtis vs. Kopylovbacked Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osoriobacked Raducanu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$15.46
Erste Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$11.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.8%+$65.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs STATE (BO3)backed FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin all time high day after election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+29.9%+$5.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Espresso' win Record of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$61.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.