TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Flames, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Flyers9c18,469$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.9132331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Flames79c5,799$4,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.793271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flyers11c5,258$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.9444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e98…d619backed Flames43c3,649$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded0…66f3backed Flames43c3,521$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e4b…a8bdbacked Flyers57c2,625$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Flyers3c2,611$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.345633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf014…5945backed Flyers57c2,560$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Flames80c2,264$1,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.751573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Flyers57c2,002$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.142669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c40…583bbacked Flames43c1,998$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers55c1,985$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.851,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7feb…ef2ebacked Flyers57c1,985$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Flames44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.187044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c1,514$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.511,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers3c1,477$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.321,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers56c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers4c771.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.191895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Flyers27c748.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers21c503.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.963,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Flames43c497.67$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.675757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flames42c404.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb297…24f0backed Flames44c331.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.892263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Flyers5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15525.8%3 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-52.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6984…1b67backed Flyers58c278.67$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.031553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked Flames45c257.81$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.232653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Flames45c250.11$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.722846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Flames80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed Flyers57c249.28$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…c109backed Flames43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Flames45c229.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Flyers58c226.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.551844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Flames45c224.71$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.591457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…b007backed Flames45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flames45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11181846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Flyers58c199.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.412240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Flyers57c192.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.91546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed Flames45c190.27$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…d96fbacked Flyers57c189.34$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.42433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa98d…586bbacked Flyers50c184$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Flames45c180.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.61764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+24.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Flyers57c177.39$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.111770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers56c177.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3189…9409backed Flyers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7739…7eafbacked Flyers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Flyers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf823…b083backed Flyers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Flames43c171.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.728932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62bc…7dd1backed Flyers58c171.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Flyers20c154.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4791334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Flyers27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flyers56c147.26$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4184…b05cbacked Flyers56c118$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Flames44c112.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.952458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f1…f594backed Flames43c111.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.882050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0c…18b7backed Flyers58c110.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.821957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39d…d87fbacked Flyers58c108.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.81926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5828542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf716…7667backed Flames44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Flyers56c99.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.998145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2c…7854backed Flyers57c97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365c…495cbacked Flyers57c91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…a6bebacked Flyers58c88.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.222045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a2…5347backed Flames43c88$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Flyers58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018452.2%96 W · 88 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed Flyers27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252646.2%12 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd3…1f26backed Flyers50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…8b7fbacked Flames44c72.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f0…9e66backed Flyers25c69.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed Flames44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.184663%29 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7f…c60bbacked Flames43c68$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x734e…8900backed Flames50c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers49c67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd176…3db6backed Flames45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.671758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ce…b4e3backed Flyers58c65.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.98825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Flyers58c65.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.892751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…12a3backed Flames42c64.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.691533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Flames43c64.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.048440.5%34 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…da41backed Flames44c59.23$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc2d3…ffe9backed Flames44c59.09$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.091361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x393d…36ffbacked Flames43c59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x368c…b415backed Flames44c56.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.674438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd4…1bc4backed Flames44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2605…8657backed Flames43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5608…d88cbacked Flames44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2155…cca3backed Flyers58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8d…3a6bbacked Flames43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…fbddbacked Flyers58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20fe…79bbbacked Flyers56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d77…3a30backed Flames43c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e4…531cbacked Flames51c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Flames44c47.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3097…a2cabacked Flyers57c46.77$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.661136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41b6…d8debacked Flames45c46.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.671258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a66…baa9backed Flyers58c46.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa5…2f92backed Flyers57c46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1689…7915backed Flames44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc970…b15abacked Flyers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Flyers57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2541954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.