TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa1e1…921e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
282
Categories scored
42
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT3571.4%25 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$83.49
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$126
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$17.13
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Pelicans vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$11.95
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51%+$40.83
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$9.84
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
Warriors vs. Bullsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$64.62
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+29.5%+$40.42
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+52.4%+$34.61
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.4
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+36%+$36.01
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+41.3%+$37.12
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST3063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+48.1%+$38.52
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+25.8%+$25.79
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.97
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+35.1%+$26
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$58
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$100.75
Chargers vs. 49ersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,726Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT+35.5%+$967.01
Lions vs. Cowboysbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$323.33
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,351.89
Jaguars vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$733.76
Cowboys vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.45
Bengals vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2024, EDT+30.4%+$150.86
Falcons vs. Chiefsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$36
Buccaneers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+32.4%+$104.68
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$29
Will there be 45 or more combined points scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$13.25
Patriots vs. Seahawksbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$43
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Georgiabacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$136.15
Washington State vs. Oregon Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Georgia Southern vs. Arkansas Statebacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$159.97
Oregon State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Arizona State vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.83
Ole Miss vs. Kentuckybacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Kansas vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Jerry Rice Team vs. Louisianabacked Jerry Rice Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$17.05
Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Kansas St. beat Colorado?backed K St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+28.4%+$66.65
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+76.7%+$86.8
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?backed OSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,521
Will BYU beat Arizona?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$178.4
Will Penn St. beat USC?backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,116.06
Will Texas beat Oklahoma?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Alabama beat South Carolina?backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+37%+$108
Will Penn St. beat Illinois by 18 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+35.8%+$49.17
Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma by 7 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+25%+$40
Will USC beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+58.5%+$120.2
Will Georgia beat Kentucky?backed Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$103.5
Will Sherrone Moore be the next head coach of the Michigan Wolverines?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2024, EST+47.1%+$94.12
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Wild vs. Canucksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.09
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Blue Jackets vs. Krakenbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$135.73
Utah vs. Bluesbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$52.88
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$714.3
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$378.82
Kraken vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Penguins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$155.85
Red Wings vs. Capitalsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$770.91
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$579.64
Flames vs. Flyersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+25%+$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick69cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$228
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29%+$90
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.86
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.52
Brewers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+27.6%+$313.68
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+32.5%+$184.21
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+36.3%+$36.29
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$753.86
Dodgers vs. Mets - Game 2backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$498.86
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.5%+$49.48
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$20.7
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$210
Will Elon tweet 200-224 October 11-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$317.3
Will Trump tweet 30-34 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+82.1%+$875.31
Will Elon tweet 175-199 times October 4-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$143.55
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$735.43
Will Elon tweet 200-224 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$589Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+28.9%+$170.42
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump tweet 15-19 times September 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Elon tweet 150-174 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon tweet 225-249 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+164.7%+$220.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.2
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$71.73
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Bournemouth beat Southampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will Chelsea beat Bournemouth?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$427.46
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$404.88
Who will advance: Barcelona or PSG?backed Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$342.81
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+38.2%+$22.1
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.5
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2025-10-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+119.2%+$54.37
Will Atlas FC win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.69
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$9,685Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT+135.9%+$13,160.59
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$48.5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Furman Paladins vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.36
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Cleveland State Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Army Black Knights vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawksbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62.8%+$25.13
Connecticut Huskies vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.8%+$24.15
Clemson Tigers vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucknell Bison vs. Rider Broncsbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will UConn win the NCAA tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2024, EDT+108%+$108
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Taro Danielbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$3.8
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Suzan Lamens vs Dalma Galfibacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Yuta Shimizu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Elmer Moeller vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$255.56
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$234
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jaume Munar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$211.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hoffman vs. Warwickbacked Hoffman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Blonde Broker vs Ashleybacked Blonde Broker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+46.9%+$223.78
Will Tyson Fury beat Oleksandr Usyk in Ring of Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ajax win on 2025-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Lyon beat Olympiacos?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$147
Will Manchester United beat Twente?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$33.78
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+25%+$4.16
Will Parma win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+25.3%+$5.06
Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+26.1%+$22.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+51.4%+$65.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2024 Women's Chess Olympiad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,234Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+45.6%+$563.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Seattle Stormbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla dip to $420 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$249.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$361.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$237
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$395
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.