MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3202cd814fc4f60614d13df61a7b10fd2f64b739f767ec14bec7852b07298ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 111,198$78,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,933.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 46,967$13,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,004.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 25,000$10,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,674.96 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 18,968$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,191.29 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 17,847$7,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,294.85 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 14,918$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,847.81 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 14,780$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.09 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 13,932$6,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,972.16 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 39c | 11,909$4,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,623.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 9,999$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 9,927$5,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,857.01 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 9,392$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,906.84 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 9,375$7,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.42 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 2c | 8,822$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 7,787$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.39 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 7,682$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 7,667$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 4,630$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.6 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 4,140$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.4 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,017$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.75 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,961$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 16c | 3,809$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.51 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 3,650$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 3,549$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.44 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,044$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 2,464$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.96 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 27c | 2,445$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 2,226$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 2,127$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.55 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 2,076$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.03 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,960$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,566$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.44 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,509$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…672ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 1,494$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 1,321$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 7c | 1,255$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,246$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,105$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.5 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 1,078$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 16c | 1,056$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 951$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.3 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 792.33$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.4 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 36c | 784.15$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 730.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 610$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 605.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 518.94$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.24 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 497.93$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 458.31$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…3c8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 435$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.3 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 428.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…827bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 415.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 386.4$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Chicago Cubs | 32c | 380$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 377.2$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 367.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 366$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.94 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 357.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 356.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 344.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 25c | 314.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 305$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 302.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…e35fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 299.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…7f01backed Chicago Cubs | 22c | 287.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 280$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…6bb6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 248.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 240$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 239.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs | 16c | 230$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 230$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 223.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Chicago Cubs | 17c | 223.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Chicago Cubs | 30c | 213.4$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Cubs | 17c | 211$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 207.65$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 17c | 203.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.