South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa97bbc94057df6a6a718f21738cfaa78ff8a6c1cf5c0ed9fb27a3fd1bdd5b8b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 55c | 730.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 35c | 420$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…bb17backed No | 62c | 355.01$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…7640backed Yes | 58c | 333.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 64c | 331.78$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…c017backed No | 65c | 299.83$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…b1e4backed Yes | 35c | 248$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 12c | 133.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 54c | 101.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes | 50c | 98.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 39c | 51.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed No | 51c | 37.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…feccbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…e764backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…570bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.