TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36e1…2ee8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.18
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
FC Twente '65 vs. AZ: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
AZ vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+105.6%+$41.61
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$23.6
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$51.7
FC Utrecht vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.82
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.7
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC København win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
AZ vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+140.8%+$91.51
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$9.86
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+106.2%+$42.48
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Thunder vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Pacers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Raptors vs. Nets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Timberwolves vs. Kings: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Pacers vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
Pistons vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Knicks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+401.7%+$80.19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$122.75
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$74
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$212.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.9
KRC Genk vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$17.51
HNK Rijeka vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
AZ vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Samsunspor vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$56.17
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$22
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$34.68
SC Braga vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2025-10-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-10-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayern München vs. Bayer Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
VfB Stuttgart vs. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$34.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelonabacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.