Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c9a0eda84509c821f823ef22d5f588270374a315c83637a7bc1e29f6bb8287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 2,644$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…e803backed Under | 51c | 694.22$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15d…6a7cbacked Over | 52c | 323.13$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 48c | 232.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.3 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 203.66$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 51c | 195.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 58c | 166.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 52c | 133.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 52c | 89.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2ee8backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…ad51backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 46.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…bd7fbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 51c | 22.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-0.5)FC Viktoria Plzeň won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.