TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dee…efa6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will CA Tigre vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+117.4%+$29.35
Will Racing Club win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick56cpaid+61.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$53.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.74
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.89
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$82.96
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$50.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$47.86
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$12.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-74.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$16
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.91
Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.01
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.99
FCSB vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-79.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-77%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.98
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.56
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.52
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+154.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will AZ win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$28.73
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+99.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+298.6%+$37.06
Will Mallorca win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.47
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.16
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.