Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be1a316883795a6b2d5fdf3c3ae9452639c7a1d7fbb3e5ae1461a569c6d5d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 21c | 70,005$15,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050.94 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 64c | 23,855$15,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,587.71 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked No | 61c | 11,500$7,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Yes | 38c | 7,937$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 59c | 5,986$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.15 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 5,819$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.96 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 5,134$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.09 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 36c | 4,629$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.06 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 2,400$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.68 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 42c | 2,000$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 63c | 1,551$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,362$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.8 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,012$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.7 | 133 | 27.8%37 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 66c | 757.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 677$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 63c | 513.43$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 71c | 452$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 37c | 264.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 211$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 57c | 202.33$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…d3f4backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 23c | 175.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 59c | 136$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 129.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 41c | 126.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 40c | 113.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed No | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 34c | 76.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…0319backed Yes | 37c | 70.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…b883backed Yes | 36c | 69.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 42c | 59.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 63c | 53.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 62c | 51.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…df88backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 37c | 43.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 58c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cb…574cbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 64c | 30.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…a5e4backed Yes | 41c | 24.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…b9dcbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.