Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eaf32a9d19d7f7cdab22646772970568083586975475fca22b8147e5f750e90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 32c | 70,000$22,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,399.96 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 43c | 24,514$10,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,951.54 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 18c | 23,072$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.15 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 54c | 9,745$5,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.67 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 7,284$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.05 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 54c | 4,414$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.46 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 70c | 4,166$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.61 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 21c | 3,684$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.61 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 27c | 2,394$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.65 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 58c | 1,829$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.26 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 70c | 1,765$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.64 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 36c | 1,364$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.26 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 2c | 1,111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…eb16backed Yes | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 30c | 516$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.48 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 13c | 507.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 6c | 466.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 35c | 455.98$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.26 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 11c | 430.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 370.37$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.85 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 19c | 326.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 38c | 325$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.18 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 30c | 267$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 35c | 199.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 54c | 110.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…147cbacked No | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…e611backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…abf8backed Yes | 30c | 85.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 55c | 70.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65e…8415backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 58c | 50.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…0464backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 37c | 28.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…fc22backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Yes | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.